Ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern thinks Bush plans to attack Iran this year

[bananas]

http://sundaygazettemail.com/News/200804290627

April 30, 2008
Ex-CIA analyst thinks Bush plans to attack Iran this year
By Paul J. Nyden
Staff writer

Ray McGovern, a career U.S. intelligence officer, believes President Bush and his administration have no intention of leaving Iraq and are preparing to attack Iran in the next few months.

"I believe George Bush and Dick Cheney plan to take care of Iran before they leave office. But what will happen then, if Iran cuts supplies coming to Iraq through Kuwait? That could threaten tens of thousands of our soldiers," McGovern said during a Tuesday interview with the Gazette.

McGovern will speak at West Virginia State University this evening and at Grace Baptist Church in Charleston on Thursday morning.

In January 2003, McGovern helped create Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, a group that has 67 former professionals from the Central Intelligence Agency, State Department and military intelligence agencies.

<snip>

[Clear Blue Sky]

1. I wonder if there are Vegas odds on this?

I would trust the odds more than the opinion of some ex-CIA. When there is money to be made, as in Vegas betting, the info tends to be more believable.

[bananas]

9. Here are the bids at intrade.com

Go to www.intrade.com click on "Current Events" then "Iran".

Current Events - Iran
US/Israeli Overt Air Strike against Iran (Rule 1.8 Applies)
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.JUN08
USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 30 Jun 2008 M Trade 12.0 12.8 10.0 2507 0
AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.SEP08
USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 30 Sep 2008 M Trade 20.0 30.0 25.0 1858 0
AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.DEC08
USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 31 Dec 2008 M Trade 16.2 31.9 30.0 1980 +5.0

May 01 - 11:24PM IST

[Clear Blue Sky]

10. Interesting.

So about a 30% chance this year if I am interpreting the numbers correctly.

I read how the intelligence services are watching these odds for sudden blips that might tip them off that something is happening on the terror front.

[Cleita]

2. I'm not a CIA analyst but my gut is telling me the same thing.

Movement of our military equipment into the Persian Gulf is sort of a give away and the need for them to finish the PNAC plan in the Middle East that involves Iran is another hint that they intend to get this done before Bush leaves office.

[cornermouse]

3. I think Bush will too.

[Tempest]

4. Will he be right this time? He said the same thing for 2006 and 2007

http://antiwar.com/mcgovern/?articleid=8510

Maybe he'll be right this time, maybe not.

[defendandprotect]

5. I think there were a lot of Generals who had to be fired first . .. but

looks like we may be there now with Fallon gone --- ???

[defendandprotect]

6. PLUS, they may prefer to keep it closer to the election . . . two birds with one stone?

[KansDem]

7. He'll probably do what his Poppy did...

The Repubs will lose the election, and His Royal Flatulence will get us involved in a quagmire before the inaugeration. Poppy did it with Haiti and W will do it with Iran...

[kevinmc]

8. I think Ray McGovern is right. n/t