It isn't June yet but here we go - tropical storm

[malaise]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200801.html


...Depression expected to become a tropical storm as it approaches
the coast of Nicaragua...


at 5 am PDT...1200 UTC....the government of Nicaragua has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning for the Pacific coast of Nicaragua...and the
government of Honduras has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the
Pacific coast of Honduras.

Tropical storm warnings are now in effect for the Pacific coast of
Central America from Costa Rica to El Salvador. A Tropical Storm
Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within
the warning area within the next 24 hours.

[ColbertWatcher]

1. Do you know what the forecast is for this year?

How many hurricanes are predicted?

[malaise]

4. Yes but this forcast is for the Atlantic basin

The one above is Eastern Pacific.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/04/080409133718.htm
<snip>
"Current oceanic and atmospheric trends indicate that we will likely have an active Atlantic basin hurricane season," said William Gray, who is beginning his 25th year forecasting hurricanes at Colorado State University.

The team's forecast now anticipates 15 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. Eight of the storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those eight, four are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes (Saffir/Simpson category 3-4-5) with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. Long-term averages are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year.

Damn my spelling this morning is #@&*&!@

[ColbertWatcher]

6. Thank you! n/t

[malaise]

9. Now Tropical Storm Alma

10 - 20 inches of rain for Nicaragua et al. Damn.

[OmmmSweetOmmm]

2. Wow, this really is early! I hope it isn't a harbinger for the season.

[Individualist]

12. Not early for the Pacific

The East Pacific Hurricane season begins May 15. http://flhurricane.com/?morenews=5

[OmmmSweetOmmm]

14. Thanks for the enlightenment!

[OwnedByFerrets]

3. OMG.....

We got lucky on the gulf coast last year.....Im not sure we will go unscathed this one.

[malaise]

5. We got lucky too

although two Cat 5s barely missed us and Dean sure messed up our South Coast.

Sp.

[Gman]

7. The forming is really not unusual

What I think is unusual is how fast it seems to be organizing. Normally upper level winds in late May or not very favorable. But we seem to be in a late July-August type pattern kinda early.

[malaise]

8. You're right

We're going to be flooded out this weekend

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200801_sat.html#a_topad

[Gman]

10. Looks like it's kicking a lot of rain your way

stay dry (and safe).

[malaise]

11. Thanks

We're always OK but lots of poor people living in the hills and valleys won't be that lucky. We'll have several damaged roads and bridges.

[Imagevision]

13. oops! oil companies to jack up gas prices more...