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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:25 PM
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recession? depression?
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Phred42 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:27 PM
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1. Helen Thomas - It's A Depression
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:28 PM
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2. recession is simply a euphemism to keep from scaring people
during periods of economic contractions after 1929.

The word GREAT in front of depression actually is the operative modifier. And now we will be in the GREAT RECESSION, simply as a semantic ploy to distinguish it from its 1930's cousin.


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ProfessorGAC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:30 PM
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3. I Vote for Recession
However, by my statistically developed definition of recession (or recessionary behvaior to prevent the purists from arguing needlessly) we've been in a recession for 5 years and 8 months.

I read your cite, and i'm still not seeing the statistically significant similarity between a depression and now.

That's not painting a rosy picture. The economy is horrible but not depression horrible.
The Professor
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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:36 PM
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4. my point is, the concept of depression is very disengenuous...
like all financial crashes prior to 1929, they were called panics for a reason.

and I think that same term is apt now.

1929 was a panic based on an over inflated market based on margin buying, inside information and false values.

todays panic more closely resembles the panic of 1873 than any of the others that have occurred before or since.

trying to parse between recession and depression is a fools errand, we are in a panic, period.
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ProfessorGAC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-08 02:39 PM
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5. I'm Ok With That
By word definitions, i buy that. But, i've spent 30 years analyzing macroeconomic behavior from a purely mathematical perspective in an attempt to put meaning to these words that are more than subjective opinion.

So, my POV is different than the point of your post. But, i buy what you're saying.
GAC
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