New Gallup Poll - Bad News, TERRIBLE News, for The Republican Party

[Joanne98]

Mon Aug 03, 2009 at 03:46:22 PM PDT
Chris Cillizza in the WaPo highlighted a new poll out today on party identification by state which contains not a grain of good news - for the Republican party

Shane Hensinger's diary :: :: 37

That's the number of states that are either solidly or leaning Democratic in a series of Gallup tracking polls conducted over the first six months of 2009. Only eight states are solidly or leaning Republicans in that same data.

The numbers, which are based on party identification of adults in national tracking polls, paint a stark portrait of the challenge facing Republicans not just in the 2010 midterm election but also in the 2012 presidential race.

The Republicans currently have an edge in just 5 states, Alaska, Alabama, Idaho, Utah and Wyoming. Since the last Gallup poll in 2008 measuring voter ID by state, 9 states have changed classification from one category to another. Virginia, Indiana, Florida, Georgia, South Dakota and Nebraska moved from the Republican category to the Democrat, Colorado, Nevada and Alabama moved toward the Republicans.

To put this in starker terms. Add up all the states which strongly identify as Republican and you have a total of 15 electoral votes. Do the same for the Democrats and you have a total of 350 electoral votes. Not a typo - 15 electoral votes for the Republicans and 350 for the Dems.

Declining poll numbers are transitory but voter ID tends to be more static. This poll is a stark reminder of the problems Republicans face in moving from their status as a regionally-based party into one with national appeal. Remember this when you hear the pundits breathlessly predicting a "Republican comeback." It's going to be hard to stage a comeback when you've only got a majority of voters in five states.



http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/8/3/761457/-New-Gallup-PollBad-News,-TERRIBLE-News,-for-The-Republican-Party

[Why Syzygy]

1. Then we surely need not bother ourselves with bipartisanship. k/r

[closeupready]

5. Yup. That's not important.

n/t

[Echo In Light]

2. All the more reason to suspect the Right will again resort to scaring up support ANY way they can

Ring any bells...?

[sellitman]

3. It shows Oklahoma leaning Democratic?

It would be nice, but I doubt it highly!

[wtmusic]

10. Is that Jimmy Inhofe reaching for his Rolaids?

Too funny. That map made my morning.

[Betty]

4. and yet the dems bend over backwards for them

watering down health care reform when they fucking KNOW these assholes won't vote for it anyways. I think if the repigs had ONE electoral vote, they would still push the dems around. Why don't we the people have more influence over the people WE put in office????

[Echo In Light]

18. Institutional collusion/scheming. Phony 'oppositional' party at crucial levels.

[Glorfindel]

6. "moved from the Republican category to the Democrat"

It's good news, but I do wish people would stop using "Democrat" as an adjective. It really does matter. Imagine the uproar if people said "moved from the Republic category to the Democratic."

[goclark]

7. Did Pat B. and Chuck Todd get this news yet?

[rocktivity]

8. We definitely have a realistic shot at Montana

Obama lost there by only 3 per cent. CUE THE VONAGE THEME!

:woohoo:
rocktivity

[Liberal_in_LA]

9. +1

[wtmusic]

11. Palin's moving from a Repub state to a neutral one

maybe she'll end up in a ranch next to one of them Movie Stars. :scared:

[AwakeAtLast]

12. That's one pretty picture!

:kick: & R!

[rocktivity]

13. Go, Rethugs, go, go!

Birthers, deathers, town hall screamers--keep right on alienating those independents and moderates! You're going a GREAT job--honestly! RAH RAH RAH!


rocktivity

[Jack Rabbit]

20. Is that go, as in go away?

[rocktivity]

21. well...ULTIMATELY...

:evilgrin:
rocktivity

[TexasObserver]

14. The incredible shrinking party ... of assholes.

[stanwyck]

15. Send this to Pat Buchanan. He's been pushing the old line

that the middle is going to the Republicans. This has been his mantra for the past two weeks. And this morning, Peggy Noonan was bemoaning the sad plight of those making "just over" $250,000. And the difficulty they have making ends meet. Her point was to support Buchanan that the "middle" is disenchanted with the Obama administration.
I don't doubt there is disenchantment.
But weaving that into Republican support is a stretch.

[NNN0LHI]

16. Alaska, Alabama, Idaho, Utah and Wyoming are 5 states I would never spend a nickle in

If I had to pass through one of them I would gas up before I entered the state and after I left.

Don

[warren pease]

17. Which is why massive, nationwide election fraud will be required...

You don't really think these slime buckets are just going to roll over and die, do you?

And if they can't just steal it yet again, they've already made certain that their "democrat" successors are people like Reid, Baucus, Pelosi, Hoyer and the stars of the DLC, whose agenda Kucinich calls "indistinguishable" from that of the always hyperactive neo-cons.

With mass media cheering the GOPpiggies on, brownshirt gangs learning new disruptive tactics to scuttle any real medical delivery system reform, Obama acting like Bush III in his zeal to prosecute an insane, unwinnable, objective-free war in Afghanistan (not to mention remaining in Iraq and keeping all the Bushies' executive branch power grabs firmly in place)...

So far, I'm pretty damn underwhelmed watching these posturing, bought-and-paid-for, virtual democratic corporate employees as they pirouette around any issue of real substance and tackle the fluff instead -- like approving October as national mayonaise tribute month or naming a South Carolina post office after Nathan Bedford Forrest. (No, they haven't done either... yet.)

All this bipartisanship is making me gag. Who in hell decided that bipartisanship is a good thing anyway? I thought the reason there's allegedly more than one party (although I think that fiction is dying rapidly) is so they can go for each others' throats constantly. "The honorable gentleman from Tennessee" my ass. How about "The sleazebag bribed-into-submission corporate tool from Tennessee?" That's at least more accurate, if not very parliamentary in nature. And a lot more fun for the voting public.

This stream of consciousness rant brought to you by Comcast, my internet plumbing provider. Another corporate entity with my very best interests at heart. Stop me before I rant again...


sf

[lpbk2713]

19. Cheer up rethuglicans.

You can always go to ClusterFaux and get your latest polling results from Rasmussen. :rofl:

Rasmussen polls are a joke.





Look. Here's a Rasmussen pollster now.