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'Doomsday For The Greenback'

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chaska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 01:24 PM
Original message
'Doomsday For The Greenback'
Maybe you're like me and you don't know a whole lot about economics. Lately, I'm trying to remedy that a bit. Here's a very readable article on the subject. Get ready brothers and sisters (okay, I'm stepping out of the way back machine now).

http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_1948.shtml

The American people are in La-la land. If they had any idea of what the Federal Reserve was up to, they’d be out on the streets waving fists and pitchforks. Instead, they go about our business like nothing is wrong.

Are we really that stupid?

What is it that people don’t understand about the trade deficit? It’s not rocket science. The Current Account Deficit is over $800 billion a year. That means that we are spending more than we are making and savaging the dollar in the process. Presently, we need more than $2 billion of foreign investment per day just to keep the wheels from coming off the cart.

Everyone agrees that the current trade imbalances are unsustainable and will probably trigger major economic disruptions that will thrust us towards a global recession. Still, Washington and the Fed stubbornly resist any change in policy that might reduce overconsumption or reverse present trends.

It’s madness.

The investor class loves big deficits because they provide cheap credit for Bush’s lavish tax cuts and war. The recycling of dollars into US Treasuries and dollar-based securities is a neat way of covering government expenses and propping up the stock market with foreign cash. It’s a “win-win” situation for political elites and Wall Street. For the rest of us, it’s a dead-loss.

The trade deficit puts downward pressure on the dollar and acts as a hidden tax. In fact, that’s what it is -- a tax! Every day the deficit grows, more money is stolen from the retirements and life savings of working class Americans. It’s an inflation bombshell obscured by the bland rhetoric of “free markets” and deregulation.

Consider this: In 2002 the euro was $.87 on the dollar. Last Friday (4-6-07) it closed at $1.34 -- a better than 50 percent gain for the euro in just four years. The same is true of gold. In April 2000, gold was selling for $279 per ounce. Last Friday, at the close of the market it skyrocketed to $679.50 -- more than double the April 2000 price.

Gold isn’t going up; it’s simply a meter on the waning value of the dollar. The reality is that the dollar is tanking big-time, and the main culprit is the widening trade deficit.

snip
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Captain Angry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 01:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'm just glad that this is getting so much coverage on the major network news.

Oh, right. No coverage of anything except for quotes about the great economy and the Dow hitting records.

If you saw the Fed's statement of March 21st, they changed the wording enough to imply the potential of a rate cut. Until that meeting they had a "tightening bias." On March 21st, it became "market conditions."

Now, that's not a big deal. Unless you look at the minutes from the meeting which were released this week. They talked about slowing business spending, rising input/energy costs, and inflation risks. All of which would indicate a need for "tightening bias." I wonder why they didn't publicly say that this time, but it was all over their meeting. Hmm...

My personal opinion is that the BIG investors know that it's going to hit the fan, and need the households to think everything's cool. If everything's cool, people will still put money into the market, creating a buyer for the shares they seek to sell.

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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. And, the solution is??
Tell American consumers not to buy cheaper goods made in China or Guatemala?

I don't see a solution. The emerging economies are simply using capitalism to their advantage and undercutting American producers. The public isn't about to start buying more expensive American made products because it has a "Made in America" label on it.
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chaska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. One day peak oil will mean cheaper American goods...
And we'll laugh about all that cheap plastic crap we used to buy from overseas.
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AngryAmish Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 01:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. People have been writing this shit forever
There are always prophets of doom. Don't freak out.

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chaska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Yeah, those crazy left-wingers. They're always wrong.
Uh, no.
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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 02:04 PM
Response to Original message
6. Everything's going to be fine
Just like they said in 1928.

1928: Buy stocks on margin? No problem! We'll loan you the money!

2007: Need more cash to live on? Re-finance your house for the 5th time!






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chaska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-14-07 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Congrats on your keen grasp of the obvious, which is apparently not so obvious...,
except to those paying attention.

Huh?
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