Baltic Index May Fall Back to April Levels: Technical AnalysisJune 16, 2010, 3:45 AM EDT
By Alistair Holloway
June 16 (Bloomberg) -- The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of commodity-shipping costs that’s tumbled 28 percent during its longest losing streak this year, may decline further, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital.
The gauge fell to 3,020 points yesterday, extending a 13- day fall on speculation weaker Chinese construction may curb raw material demand. That may include iron ore, more of which is hauled at sea than any other dry-bulk commodity. The attached chart shows the index’s 200-day moving average of 3,164. It fell as low as 2,911 points in April, 3.6 percent less than now.
“The market is running down to its lows from April,” Philip Roberts, a technical analyst at Barclays Capital in London, said by phone. On June 14 it went “below its 200-day average, which is a bearish signal and suggests those lows are going to be tested again.” ............(more)
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