What are the odds that Greenland will be hit by a tropical storm this week?

[hedgehog]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents

[Junkdrawer]

1. That ought to play hell with the icebergs.. n/t

[hedgehog]

2. I'm hoping we have a weather hobbyest out there who can tell us

if this has ever happened before.

[Junkdrawer]

3. Hurricane Erin (2001)...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Erin_(2001)

[bherrera]

4. it is not a tropical storm anymore

Most Atlantic hurricanes move to the north and become storms which strike the Northern USA, Canada, Iceland, Europe, and in very rare circumstances Greenland. This storm is being driven off the normal path by a high pressure center to the East of its location.

[hedgehog]

7. I guess from my ppoint of view, the real question is what kind of heat will the storm be

carrying with it. A low that hits Greenland with typical September temperatures would be one thing, but a low that hits with unusual high temps would be something else.

[dipsydoodle]

5. Note here :

Bermuda Sets Watch for Strongest 2010 Hurricane

>

Windy Azores

Those remnants are expected to be absorbed by a low- pressure system near Greenland, said Jeff Masters, co-founder of Weather Underground Inc. in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Masters said the Azores may be brushed by high winds next week.

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-08-27/bermuda-sets-watch-for-strongest-2010-hurricane.html

[Gman]

6. It won't be considered tropical by the time it gets to Greenland

It currently is losing it's tropical characteristics and is forecast to be "extra-tropical" within 12 hours. So technically a hurricane or even tropical storm will not hit Greenland. It's also forecast to be possibly absorbed by an even stronger weather system later in the week. It may impact Greenland, but it will just be a strong low pressure system. That's not at all unusual. See the latest Danielle discussion at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/301449.shtml

What is unusual is a hurricane like Hurricane Vince in 2005 that hit Portugal as a Tropical Storm: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x5020405

[LawnKorn]

8. The ocean heat content has been increasing since before Katrina

Just because there hasn't been a major hurricane in the last few years doesn't mean there won't be one. Global warming is accumulating energy in the atmosphere and oceans, and it will come out eventually. This year could be the one where the hurricanes run hog-wild up the east coast. A big blast of warm air into the northern regions of the Atlantic are not out of the question.