1. House is probably gone, but they'll hold on to the Senate
It may well be that the baggage of the Tea Party candidates (with the exception of Rand Paul, who will win) will make the difference for the Dems in the Senate.
He got booted from the Republican leadership in the 90s when the powers that were decided he and the Gingrich crew weren't getting the message out right. I wouldn't be surprised if it happens again, especially if they only squeak by with a small majority (though personally, I think they will gain most of the seats they are aiming for). The next few years of Republican internal politics will be quite interesting.
Most people like their incumbents and think that the problems with congress don't apply to them. It's aways "that bastard congressman from ________" that's the problem, not good old incumbent X.
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