Prediction: 50,50,50

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

House losses = 50

Post election Senate = 50-50 (For one day until Lieberman switches.)

We will do better than was predicted a month ago. (50,50,50 is better than was generally predicted a month ago.)

Post your own predictions

[AmericanMan1958]

1. Give us a couple more weeks.....

The push is on and we have our voice...
Tens of Thousands on the street going door to door across America.
The election is on and we are activated.

[alfredo]

11. Obama has the maddening habit of waiting till the last

minute to act, but when he does, he gets results. We've seen positive results in the past few weeks. He's putting out a needed message and is rallying the troops. We have taken some control of the message. The Chamber kerfuffle has helped us because Obama has made it an issue.


The big dog Clinton wouldn't be out there without the OK by Obama.

[AmericanMan1958]

17. Let the Big Dog Eat......

[alfredo]

19. He's helped Conway here in Ky.

[Orrex]

2. No matter what happens, it will be spun as a massive Republican victory

If Dems don't hold every Dem seat currently up for election, the MSM will call it a Repub victory.

If Dems don't also take every Repub seat currently up for election, the MSM will call it a Repub victory.

If Dems don't hold every Dem governorship currently up for election, the MSM will call it a Repub victory.

If Dems don't take every Repub governorship currently up for election, the MSM will call it a Repub victory.


It will also be called a referendum on the Obama Presidency, and we'll hear an awful lot about how Americans want real change & are dissatisfied with the pace/tone/style set by this White House blah blah blah.

If, by some miracle, Dems hold every seat now on the chopping block, the MSM will instead report on either:

1. The number of Republicans who came out to vote, indicating that a Republican upswell is still brewing.

2. The number of Republicans who came out to vote--in smaller numbers than Democrats--indicating that Republican sentiments are still running strong in the US.


These are my predictions.

[AtomicKitten]

3. Dems holding both houses of Congress will be a victory -- MSM be damned. nt

[Orrex]

4. Certainly you're correct in real terms.

But the MSM will immediately start attacking those seats. For instance, they'll say "Joe Smith has held onto his Senate seat, but he's still facing massive voter disillusionment in his home state" or "Congresswoman Jones still has a lot of work to do if she wants to convince her constituents that she's doing right by them."

[AtomicKitten]

5. Just like the MSM stopped hammering the notion of an impending GOP tsunami,

they will quietly back away as reality kicks in and they really start looking like an ass.

"Never mind."

[Orrex]

7. "In other news, Snooki and The Situation are blah blah blah..."

[AtomicKitten]

8. *

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LnwWxIWdIus&feature=related

[Aramchek]

6. and we're obviously going to do better than your prediction. we always do.

[Emperess mildred]

9. I don't think Republicans will make it to 50

They would have to win all the toss-up states, and that's unlikely.

[CommonSensePLZ]

12. -sigh- I wish I could cheer for the republicans, or tea party w/e they call themselves

But it seems their selfishness is at a new record high.

They care more about the money than they care about the country, the law, democracy. They'd rather get rich, let America become an oligarchy or just crumble into oblivion.

They defend a bank's "right" to victimize its members, they defend a corporation over the environment, they defend companies over consumers; They suck.

[alfredo]

10. We will hold both houses by slim margins. 52 real Dems Senate

220 Dems in the house.

If you want to see republicans rip themselves apart, hold both houses. Do it for your country, do it for the entertainment value.

[BzaDem]

13. I think that's a reasonable prediction, though I don't know if Lieberman will switch.

If he isn't planning on running again, he might very well switch just to spite Democrats. (Though he didn't switch in 2006, when doing so would have given the Senate to Republicans.)

If he is planning on running again, however, he likely cannot win as a Republican. First, I highly doubt someone who voted for HCR will win the Republican primary. If he runs as an independent and promises to caucus with the Republicans, he'll get almost no Democrats to support him, and he'll easily lose. He only won in 2006 because around a quarter of Democrats supported him.

His only path to victory in 2012 is to run as an independent, promising to caucus with the Democrats. He still won't win unless his approval rating goes up, but even if that happens he can't win as a Republican in Connecticut.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

14. I don't think he can ever win another election in any scenario

My comment was half jest, but he seems to be composed of distilled spite so who knows what he might do.

[BzaDem]

15. I would tend to agree, though keep in mind that politicans often have inflated expectations

So while Lieberman probably won't win, there is probably some correction factor (10-15 points?) such that if he is only down by that much, he thinks he can win. So that might affect his behavior.

In any case, the only thing the Senate is going to accomplish with a Republican House is approving Obama's nominees for life-tenure judgeships and executive appointments. If Lieberman knows he isn't going to win, I haven't seen Lieberman be opposed to Obama's judges (though he might all of a sudden become opposed out of spite).

[BeFree]

16. If it is 50 as you say

Then the heads of the party need to be replaced.

If they fail so badly, then new blood must move in and take over the reigns of the Democratic Party.

Can you believe some of them are backing a known conservative republican in Florida?

[TexasObserver]

18. Catchy, but hopefully wrong.

I don't think we will lose the senate, and probably not the House.