Nate Silver's gloomy forecast for the House election makes you...

[BurtWorm]

Poll question: Nate Silver's gloomy forecast for the House election makes you...

For example:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/26/tonights-house-forecast-52-seat-gain-for-g-o-p/

"If Democrats were hoping for a late surge to improve their chances of retaining control of the House, there isn't any evidence of it yet."

[bigwillq]

1. Not care what Nate Silver thinks or writes (nt)

[peekaloo]

2. other

combo of option #1 AND fart in his general direction.

[Alexander]

3. Thankfully, almost all of my state's representatives are in good shape.

The state where I previously, lived, Arizona, has every House Democrat except Ed Pastor in serious danger.

I hope Nate's wrong, and he has stressed that there is a huge margin of error in predicting the House breakdown.

But his methodology is pretty decent, even though I don't want to see his prediction actually happen.

[BurtWorm]

4. It's not easy being a messenger.

Especially an accurate one. ;-)

Arizona is such a sad case.

[LawnLover]

6. Inaccurate one. Just wait and watch. nt.

[BurtWorm]

9. Your mouth to the election gods' ears.

[LawnLover]

5. Wonder if Nate's ties to the NYT has changed his outlook. nt

[BurtWorm]

7. I honestly don't believe so.

I think he's really trying to tell it like he sees it. If he erred on the side of playing down the possibility of change, however, that could have a worse effect on Dems voting than erring on the other side.

[dgibby]

8. I live in SC.

The election results here are a foregone conclusion.

[BrklynLiberal]

10. The doomsaying about what will happen on 11/2 makes me physically ill.

I want to believe they are all wrong..but the possibility that they are right makes me want to go into the bathroom and puke.

[BurtWorm]

11. I should have made that an option.

:think:

It's a good one.

[BrklynLiberal]

13. TY..TYVM>>>

lol

[Bluenorthwest]

12. I said other.

It just reminds me that Nate, for all the hoopla around him, has a very short CV as an election pundit.

[Burma Jones]

14. Shrug

Normal to lose the majority in the House in this off year.

If people want to vote against their interest, then fuck 'em.