Guess tomorrow's July jobs number

[scheming daemons]

My guess:

Overall: +35,000

Private sector: +160,000
Public sector: -125,000 (Census layoffs)



Not great.... but not bad either. July of 2009 was -360,000.

[flyarm]

1. loss of 87,000 jobs

Source: The Telegraph (UK)

Ahead of today’s all-important US employment report, which is expected to show a loss of 87,000 jobs last month, the US government reported that “initial jobless claims” rose by 19,000 to 479,000 last week. The figure was higher than Wall Street estimates, and drove the four-week moving average higher too.

Read more: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7929472/US...

[golfguru]

2. That link is non-functional n/t

[joshcryer]

4. maybe this one?

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7929472/US-jobs-data-expected-to-underline-fears-for-recovery.html

[golfguru]

9. That works, thanks!

[cherokeeprogressive]

3. -18 jobs. All in all, a wonderful number! n/t

[jefferson_dem]

5. My prediction: + 85,000 private sector jobs

:)

[jefferson_dem]

6. Well, I was off just a bit. Actual # was +71,000.

:(

[flyarm]

7. and wait for the back page of the paper adjustment in a month,.

the numbers today are all bullshit..and propaganda..it is all manipulated! For the very dumb who want to buy into bullshit and want to be manipulated!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x8891000

Quelle Surprise !!: June employment figures revised downward....by about 100,000 !!!




....snip....

June Revisions

Total employment fell a revised 221,000 in June, today’s figures showed. Payroll estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 84 economists ranged from a decline of 160,000 to a gain of 10,000 after a previously reported loss of 125,000 jobs in June that was led by census dismissals.

Private employment in July was led by gains in manufacturing and education and health services. Estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from increases of 20,000 to 150,000.

“The labor market is holding on and continues to be the foundation for a weak but measurable recovery,” said Ellen Zentner, a senior U.S. macroeconomist at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, which had forecast 53,000 private payrolls. “The creation in manufacturing jobs was phenomenal and shows that manufacturing continues to be a strong driver of the economy.” .......(more)

The complete piece is at: http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a3...

[Skittles]

8. no big surpirse: dismal

http://money.cnn.com/2010/08/06/news/economy/jobs_july/

[Arkana]

10. -17.3 jobs.

[MikeW]

11. those numbers are not correct not according to the gov release

see
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf