Although the election is looking more and more like a Republican romp, largely because
of depressed Democratic turnout and an excited Republican base, those same Americans
who recognize the likelihood of Republican gains would, at the same time, prefer to vote
for the Democrats. Democrats have retaken a 45-44 lead in the national generic
Congressional ballot, after being down 42-45 in August. Independents prefer the GOP by
a slim 36-33.
While they are still massively unpopular, Democrats in Congress also still are better liked
than their Republican counterparts by 19 points. Largely unchanged since last month,
Congressional Democrats have a 34-54 job approval rating to Republicans’ 22-61.
Despite several incumbent Republicans being pushed out by the Tea Party fervor
dominating primaries this year, 41% still think there is a place for moderate voters in the
GOP, to 34% who do not. 58% of Republicans and a 45% plurality of independents say
there is room for non-conservatives, but only 24% of Democrats say that.
“This is just more demonstration that if Democrats were turning out at the same rate they
did in 2008, this election would not be nearly as bad for their party as it looks like it will
be,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
Complete results are attached, and can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com.
PPP surveyed 590 American voters from September 10th to 13th. The survey’s margin of
error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_915.pdf