Survey USA--CA Brown up by 7 and Boxer up by 2

[WI_DEM]

Much learning out of California, in SurveyUSA's latest pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. United States Senator Barbara Boxer, Democrat, nominally trails Republican incumbent Carly Fiorina among California likely voters interviewed on their home telephones, but, among voters who do not have a home telephone, and who were interviewed by SurveyUSA on their cellphone, Boxer leads 2:1. When the two groups are proportionally blended, SurveyUSA pegs it as Boxer 46%, Fiorina 44%, very much within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error, and still too close to call, but indicative of how important voters without home phones are if Boxer is to hold her Senate seat, and, as fate may have it, if Democrats are to keep majority control of the United States Senate

For Governor, Brown 47%, Whitman 40%, the lowest level of support for Whitman in 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to July. The contest is closer among voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot.

For Lieutenant Governor, Newsom 43%, Maldonado 37%, effectively unchanged over the past 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls. Going back to August, Newsom has polled at 43%, 44%, 44%, 42% and today 43%. But: those who have already voted may slightly favor Maldonado

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ae46633e-2251-4fd1-86b9-75b194d1b848

(Among those who have voted early Survey USA has both Boxer and Brown leading by 2)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. I Would Think Early Voting Skews Republican As Working Folks Wait For Election Day

~

[WI_DEM]

2. Generally early voting or absentee voting did screw GOP until Obama

but most indications so far have shown that the Dems are leading or at least holding their own in early voting this year--and Dems are making a big push in this area.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. If Somebody Is Going To Vote It Doesn't Matter When They Vote

I assume a retired person or a professional person who can take time off to vote will vote early while a working person will wait to election day.