Mason-Dixon Poll--KY Senate: Paul (R) 48% Conway (D) 43%

[WI_DEM]

CONWAY PAUL UNDECIDED
STATE 43% 48% 9%
CONG DISTRICT CONWAY PAUL UNDECIDED
1st Cong District 39% 52% 9%
2nd Cong District 40% 51% 9%
3rd Cong District 54% 39% 7%
4th Cong District 33% 54% 13%
5th Cong District 38% 49% 13%
6th Cong District 51% 42% 7%
SEX CONWAY PAUL UNDECIDED
Men 39% 55% 6%
Women 46% 41% 13%
PARTY REG CONWAY PAUL UNDECIDED
Democrats 65% 24% 11%
Republicans 13% 81% 6%
Independents 40% 48% 12%

The Kentucky Poll was conducted on behalf of the Lexington
Herald-Leader, WKYT-TV and WAVE-TV by Mason-Dixon Polling &
Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 18 through
October 19, 2010. A total of 625 registered Kentucky voters
were interviewed statewide by telephone. All said they were
likely to vote in the November general election.

http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/13/SenateHorseRace.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf

Other recent polling has shown Paul ahead as well, but has also shown Conway with the momentum heading into the final days of the campaign. The TPM Poll Average shows Paul ahead 47.1-42.6.

[bigdarryl]

1. The last poll I saw had Conway ahead noticed how a poll comes out with a democrat

ahead of a rethug and then a couple of days later another poll comes out with the rethug ahead I'm seeing a pattern hear

[WI_DEM]

2. The one which had Conway ahead was a Dem poll, M-D is an independent polling outfit

but I believe this is still movement toward Conway.

[Cosmocat]

5. In an election where the Rs have a seemingly endless ...

stream of shiiteheels of every possible variety, Rand Paul stands out as the protype arrogant, son of a pol who is in over his head, and honestly, I don't know that I would not end up giving him a poke to the snout if I had to be in the same place as him ...

BUT, it is friggen Kentucky ... We see some blibs every now and again with having a distant shot in states like Tennessee, but in the end, even a pretty darn good candidate like Conway can't get past what that state is ...

[FBaggins]

3. You're imagining things... that's the normal give/take of polling in close elections.

The poll showing our guy ahead likely followed a poll showing the other side ahead. No doubt true believers at FR thought they saw a pattern too.

But where have you seen a poll with Conway ahead? There hasn't been a public poll like that in months.

[karynnj]

4. Watch longer - and after a poll good for them, there will be one good for us

In any close race race, that will happen

[Colobo]

6. Paul will win, but it will be close.

[JustAmused]

7. Meeting Jac tommorrow

He will be here in my town at noon and I plan to be there I also saw him with Clinton recently. Hopefully he will pull this off.

[Life Long Dem]

8. I noticed

In the media they let Rand Paul run with questioning the use of something he did back 30 years ago in college. Yet they never questioned the use of something such as the swift boat veterans use of something back when Kerry was in the military. If it was fair game for the swift boat vets then it's fair game for Rand Paul. It's bullshit.