How do the senate, governor & house races look in your state...

[WI_DEM]

with less than a week to go?

From what I can tell, unfortunately, Wisconsin is poised to be one of the Democrats worse states on Tuesday night. It appears that the GOP probably will pick up Feingold's seat and also win back the Governorship. I think that we may lose two house seats too, including the seat Obey has held since 1969. On the other hand, my congresswoman, Tammy Baldwin, will be easily re-elected.

Sorry to be so pessimistic, but that is what it's looking like right now, though I will be doing GOTV calls this weekend again and get another look at things.

So how are things in your state--good, fair, bad, improving, getting worse????

[onenote]

1. Virginia only has House races, no Senate, no Gov.

It looks like we'll lose some ground. I'm hoping that my rep, Gerry Connolly, hangs on. He's running against a Cuccinelli "mini-me" whom he defeated in 2008, but the reports have been that this time its a lot closer and turnout will be the key. Hope to vote today.

[Demeter]

2. Ugly, depressing, and muddled

The GOP with their libertarian vulture capitalist running for governor think they can bamboozle the few people left in Michigan. I sincerely hope not, but now that we have no newspaper, it's hard to tell....

our 84-year-old DINO is running for Senate again...

[Inuca]

35. Levin?

He may not be perfect (nobody is), but he is definitely not a DINO. And is he really 84, or is that part of the snark? I have no idea, but he definitely looks younger...

[Demeter]

39. He's 84 and a Wholly Owned Subsidiary of the Car Manufacturers

and just as Kennedy left a big mess when he wouldn't graciously retire, and died in office at the most inopportune time, so will Dingell.

[lldu]

3. Arkansas Dems look to lose 1 house and of course, 1 senate

I haven't kept up with all the house politics here, but we may lose one Dem house spot to a lying, caging, corrupt, Bushite named Tim Griffin.

This will end up moving the state more towards being a pure Red state.

Not looking forward to this.

Good Luck to you

[nevergiveup]

4. Illinois, not so good.

In my western Chicago suburbs district it would be easy for one to believe that Mark Kirk, the Republican, is unopposed. A tea partier is likely to win the governorship. The house seat in this district is still a toss-up and will probably be decided by under 1000 votes.

[WI_DEM]

5. I've read that Kirk's house seat the Dem has an edge?

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

6. Maryland will give Dems some good news. O'Malley will remain governor.

Van Hollen will win easily.

Barbara Milkulski will easily win.

Of course Steny will defeat the teabagger in his district.

The only worry is Kratovil who is facing tons of Chamber money. We're afraid of losing that seat to yet another teabagger. :puke::puke:

[WI_DEM]

10. DCCC just put an infusion of $$ into Kratovil's district, so that may help

but if dems can gotv I can see Kratovil winning. Go big blue Maryland!!!!!!

[Bitwit1234]

7. All the Democrats look good

the only thing is I don't think Clark can catch Bachmann who had the most and I mean most bastion of republicans in the state. The only sickening thing is the US Chamber of Congress is dinging one right after the other ads about the asshole Emmer. And of course trying to knock out Oberstar. With Oberstar they are really really wasting their money. I am getting so I hate to watch TV. I just wish the house had the gumption to impeach Thomas they have the grounds - more so than they have to impeach Roberts. and then the supreme Court would be free again.

[WI_DEM]

11. Yep, if Dayton wins the MN governorship (most polls show him ahead) that will be a pickup for dems

and I can't see Bachman losing in a GOP year when she won in heavily Dem years (06, 08), but stranger things have happened.

[bigwillq]

8. I'm expecting most DEMS to win

I am in CT.

[WI_DEM]

12. CT has been a positive story of late in governor/ senate race--now lets hope

the house delegation wins.

[bigwillq]

16. I think District IV

The seat that's currrently held by Jim Hines is the only one that's vulnerable. The other four should stay DEM

[WI_DEM]

19. I see in their final ad buy the DCCC is putting almost $275,000 into district-05 Murphy

Isn't he the one who was expected to be running for the senate in '12?

[Dawson Leery]

24. The coast and cities must come out in big numbers

to counter upper Fairfield County :puke:. If they do, Himes will win with a comfortable margin.

[Nite Owl]

9. Very good

here in NYS

[WI_DEM]

13. Hopefully some of those vulnerable house dems will get caught up in the tide--the NY blue tide that

is.

[Mass]

14. Depressing even though I think most dems will be reelected in MA.

Depressing because the races are a lot closer they should be. But I am predicting we will win the governorship and the 10 House races.

[WI_DEM]

15. Has having a third party running in MA helped Patrick?

I'm glad his lead has been stable pretty much thru-out. If Dems win all 10 house seats, no matter how close some of them, that will be indeed good news.

p.s.
I see that the DCCC just put in over $800,000 in the 10th district of MA--so hopefully that will help, and indicates that they still think it can be won--though the polls are close.

[Mass]

17. It is not really clear. Common wisdom has varied with time.

At the beginning, people thought it would help Baker by splitting the Democratic vote, then that it would help Patrick, as Baker had trouble connecting with people. At this point, my guess is that those who say they will vote Cahill probably split 50%-50%.

I hope somebody will start to have some positive ads on Keating. The DCCC ad that is airing here about Perry is creepy and serves well its purpose, but the campaign needs to work on why to elect Keating (rather than just why to beat Perry). Also, I read this morning that Biden will be in MA-10 Saturday campaigning for Keating (just after Keating said he did not support the stimulus).

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. I Am Afraid That In Florida Bill Nelson Is Going To Be The Only Prominent Democrat Left Standing

I wouldn't be surprised if the Republicans won every major race in my state.

[WI_DEM]

20. Any chance for Sink?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. She Is Tied Or Ever So Slightly Behind In The Polls

If you look at 06 and 08 which were good years for us we won every close race.

You can make your own inference.

I was living in South Florida this Summer. I have lived in Central Florida my entire life. When I saw impromptu Tea Bag ralies for Alan West I thought they were a joke. Now I see he might beat Ron Klein.

[leftynyc]

22. Downstate NY looks pretty good

Dems will take governor, both Senate seats, my rep Nita Lowey will win huge. I'm a bit worried about NY-19 and NY-20 and hope for a high Dem turnout to keep both those seats. Further upstate I'm just not that familiar with.

[tomg]

26. Right now, in the 19th - John Hall -

is a point ahead after being behind. It all depends on turnout, but I think Hall with win. I am over in the 22nd, Maurice Hinchey is a lock, despite Karl Rove's American Crossroads targeting Mo to the tune of 400,000. No idea about the 20th.

[leftynyc]

30. Excellent

I have a soft spot for Mr. Hall. My nephew's first foray into politics was to phonebank for John Hall. I still remember how his face lit up when Hall was announced the winner. He's not even in that district (he's with me in NY=18 but Lowey was in good shape and we were trying to knock off Sue Kelly). That's good news about Hinchey. Scott Murphy is in some trouble - recall he narrowly won the special election for Gillibrand's old seat. He's behind now:

http://www.northcountrypublicradio.org/news/story/16572/gibson-takes-9-point-lead-in-ny-20-race

I think turnout will help but 9 points is a pretty deep hole.

[racaulk]

23. Georgia: House - Good, Senate - Bad, Governor - Toss-Up

My Representative, John Lewis (D, GA-5), will cruise to reelection without any problems.

Unfortunately, so will my Senator, Johnny Isakson (R, GA).

Our Governor's race is considered a toss-up, but the Republican candidate (Nathan Deal) has a slight edge on the Democratic candidate (Roy Barnes, also a former Governor) in recent polls by a margin of 6 to 10 points. I personally think it's Deal's race to lose, but I would really like to see Barnes make a comeback. We'll see.

:hi:

[totodeinhere]

25. In Nevada...

In the Senate race, Harry Reid and Angle in a dead heat, in House races, one tossup, one solid Dem, one solid GOP, in the Governor's race, solid GOP.

[kick-ass-bob]

27. NC House, Senate

look to be basically unchanged. Our 13 districts are gerrymandered so much to have usually just 1 or 2 House races that aren't foregone conclusions. This year is no different, with the 1 race in a dead heat breaking the normal 6-6 tie between the parties, and that is currently held by a Dem. Polls show it a 48-48 split.

It appears that Burr will retain Jesse's seat, but I'm not giving up hope just yet for Elaine Marshall.

[xxqqqzme]

28. There is a ery good chance that

District 44 and 48 - now held by rethugs will go blue on November 2. Expecting Bill Hedrick to take the 44th (defeating ken calvert) and Beth Krom to take the 48th (defeating john campbell). Both are true progressives.

The Orange curtain will part to allow a bit of fresh air inside.

Wolfe on Countdown last night said there could have been stronger Democratic candidates for Governor and Senator. Hey dickie, you should be so lucky to have a senator as great as Boxer. She is a terrific campaigner too.

I would have liked someone other than Brown but that is the fault of the CDP. They don't have a farm team ready for prime time. I hope John Chiang starts masking his move to run for Governor. Debra Bowen as well. Both have been impressive in their public service roles.

[littlewolf]

29. NC

in my area ... Burr over Marshall ...

I believe my congressman is safe - Butterfield ...

the GOP may take control of the house & or Senate at the state level ...

Gov Bev is not on the ballot ...

[yesphan]

31. I'm in Oklahoma

Need I say more ?

And to think OK once had the largest number of Socialist state representatives
in the entire nation. That was 80 years ago, before the conflation of socialism with communism.

[MrSlayer]

32. Too close in PA. We really need to GOTV.

We simply cannot afford to have that fascist Toomey win the Senate seat. Corbett is probably going to win the governorship, which is bad news. My congressman Bob Brady is perfectly safe.

[nmbluesky]

33. New Mexico

Only House and Gov.. No Senate run

House looks so good, but Gov looks not good for Denish. Gop Martinez lead by 6 point...

[meeshrox]

34. huh...I'm in Florida

So, not so well...take a look at this little beauty! Look at the graph on the right...downright depressing!

http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate/florida

[okieinpain]

36. well i live in oklahoma, enough said. n/t.

[ChiciB1]

37. MINE LOOKS HORRENDOUS! And I Didn't Even Check The Link... n/t

[BlueIdaho]

38. I live in Idaho - need I say more?

[Iggo]

40. California.

Whitman fading. Fiorina fadin, but still within theft range.