http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/06/mounting-economic-pessimism-poses-threat-to-obamas-reelection-bid.php?ref=fpaAs it stands now, the biggest threat to President Obama's reelection bid isn't a Republican challenger -- it's the economy, stupid.
Obama's overall approval rating -- and by extension his odds of winning reelection next year -- are inextricably tied to the health of the economy, as a number of recent polls have made very clear. While it's still a long way till election day, at the same time that economic pessimism has grown polls are showing Americans losing confidence in Obama's ability to turn things around.
The good news for Obama is that polls have not yet shown any of the Republican presidential candidates consistently topping him in hypothetical matchups, or even putting up much of a fight. So while these polls have reinforced the time-tested notion that the economy's health is crucial to a president's reelection bid, they've also illuminated how weak the current crop of Republican frontrunners are -- including presumed frontrunner Mitt Romney.
Obama got a sizeable boost from the killing of Osama bin Laden in early May , with polls pegging his approval rating as high as a 60% in the aftermath. But that support has evaporated over the past month, with some polls now showing Obama's approval rating breaking even, or even falling back into negative territory. A CNN poll released Wednesday found that 48% of Americans approved of the president's job performance, the same percentage who disapproved. In addition, a widely-cited ABC News/Washington Post poll released Tuesday showed a negative 47% to 49% split; one day later, a PPP poll gave Obama a similarly bleak 46% to 48% split.
More at the link --