...KATIA ALMOST A HURRICANE...

[malaise]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.6 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KATIA IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
HURRICANE TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

[w8liftinglady]

1. I appreciate your updates.... Thank you!

[malaise]

6. You're welcome

:fistbump:

[Name removed]

2. Deleted message

Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[steve2470]

3. thank you for this ! nt

[malaise]

7. Cool

:fistbump:

[Imajika]

4. Any chance this hits the East Coast?

I had heard it was going to remain a fish storm.

Thanks for the update.

[malaise]

5. From one of the best Jeff Masters

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1910
<snip>

Tropical Storm Katia continues its long trek across the Atlantic Ocean today, and is expected to arrive at a position several hundred miles north of the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands by Monday. At this time, it appears unlikely that the islands will receive tropical storm-force winds from Katia. Satellite images show that Katia is a well-organized storm with plenty of heavy thunderstorms. The storm has good upper-level outflow channels to the north and south, is under light wind shear, and is traversing warm waters, so it should be able to overcome any dry air problems by Thursday and intensify into a hurricane. It is looking less likely that Katia will affect land. Dr. Bob Hart's Historical Tropical Cyclone Probability web page suggests shows that tropical storms in Katia's current position have an 11% chance of hitting North Carolina, a 12% chance of hitting Canada, a 5% chance of hitting Florida, and a 62% chance of never hitting land. It will be two more days before our computer models will be able to assess the threat to land, though, as Katia is currently still very far out at sea.

Note the last sentence.

[elleng]

16. GO TO TEXAS!!!

:hi:

[xchrom]

8. Recommend

[GreenPartyVoter]

9. "Stay out at sea! Stay out at sea!

[in_cog_ni_to]

10. Oh no.

:(

[AsahinaKimi]

11. hey yeah ..

Thanks for all these updates!! :hug:

[kdmorris]

12. Invest 93L up to a 60% chance of development, too

It's in the Gulf, near the Yucatan. And closer to land.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...BUT ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DISTURBANCE.

[malaise]

13. That's the one to watch

That pelted us with serious rain on Monday. Hopefully Texas will get a break

[kdmorris]

14. I know they need the rain.. but maybe not that much rain

Hope it gets sheared all to hell and ends up just giving them SOME much needed rain.

[malaise]

15. Could be a tropical storm tomorrow

but I don't think it will reach hurricane strength - lots of water with that system and Texas needs lots of water (without the heavy wind)

[greytdemocrat]

17. I'm amazed

That we haven't had anything serious in the Gulf yet.

If a storm gets into the Gulf it's going to explode.

[malaise]

18. Remember that the Atlantic coast hasn't had storms for a few years

They were all Caribbean/Gulf.

Katia ia now a hurricane and she's moving West this morning. Way to early to try and work out her future.

[taterguy]

19. Earl, 2010

:eyes:

[malaise]

20. Earl was a serious hurricane but there was no direct hit in the US

Earl reached its peak intensity on September 2 with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph (230 km/h) and a barometric pressure of 927 mbar (hPa; 27.37 inHg). Executing a gradual curve to the northeast, the hurricane slowly weakened over decreasing sea surface temperatures; the storm's center passed roughly 85 mi (140 km) east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina on September 3.

[taterguy]

21. Tell that to the people whose vacations got cut in half by that damn storm

[malaise]

22. Valid point n/t