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snip> SO NOTHING WAS NEFARIOUS? Re: Wi. Election

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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 02:42 PM
Original message
snip> SO NOTHING WAS NEFARIOUS? Re: Wi. Election
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 02:53 PM by ooglymoogly
see rest of article at

http://www.bbvforums.org/forums/messages/8/81631.html?1302494155

snip> I'd like to quote an excellent letter by election law scholar Paul Lehto, in regard to Nate Silver's editorial in the New York Times. Lehto nails it:



"A major reason (besides being apologists) why people can "see nothing nefarious" in election results is that it is so difficult to see anything whatsoever...

"Remember it is secret black box voting boxes we are talking about. Data is extremely hard to come up, except for the conclusory election results numbers that pop out of the black boxes ...he 'sees nothing nefarious' because he can see so very little (much like the rest of us) because of the very nature of the voting system.
"...those who implicitly advocate "trust and confidence" in elections have put the cart before the horse: trust and confidence is a state of mind that should only be earned and must be re-earned with each election, and only after investigation reveals that all necessary checks and balances were in place in a properly designed voting system and that the checks and balances, including transparent observability and others, worked as they were intended to work. snip>

"..But we can't have confidence right now just a few days after an election when we are missing so much information from Wisconsin, and much of what we do know stinks or is suggestive of mistakes and fraud. But Nate Silver simply, and erroneously, takes an entirely different approach that ignores accountability and instead looks for a silver lining of the "numbers jibing" and the like upon which to attach his presumed and pre-existing trust and confidence."

Good stuff, Paul Lehto.
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Ellipsis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. She's saying revote.
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catnhatnh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
2. Go Landshark, GO! N/T
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fasttense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:03 PM
Response to Original message
3. Exactly.
It's not that Nate is wrong. It's that Nate is looking at numbers when it's not about the numbers. It's all about trust and there is nothing to trust about the whole debacle.
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
17. Right, he can only comment on the data he has
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:04 PM
Response to Original message
4.  one should never link to any site that bev is associated with....
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 03:05 PM by madrchsod
here are two reasons why she is banned from this site...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x108750

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x466588

to say the least she is hated by all that were here at that time
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Lisa0825 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. +1000
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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
18. Yes, I remember the Bev brouhaha well...and I hesitated to post from that site
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 04:44 PM by ooglymoogly
I posted for the much more important and well respected Paul Lehto content who has indeed nailed the situation, but I had to post the site it came from...I gather it was an email to her. It was sent to me in a Mark Crispin Miller email. Sides its time to let up on Bev, it was a long time ago and I believe her heart was in the right place and she does come up with good info from time to time.

And yes I too sent money and have long ago let go the anger.
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murielm99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Thanks for reminding us.
Many people forget how horrendous this was, especially the behavior toward Andy. Others were not here at the time.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. And there's 10 reccs for it. She has <zero credibility, IMHO. nt
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 03:19 PM by blondeatlast
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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 04:27 PM
Response to Reply #8
21.  This post is not remotely about Bev Harris...It is about Paul Lehto's
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 04:35 PM by ooglymoogly
Critique of a silly, straw man, apologist's article by Nate Silver in the NYT which in many ways is letting the stink of what has and is happening in the elections off the hook.
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #4
9.  HOWEVER - the org that shall remain unnamed has VERY GOOD info on election fraud
I was here during the Bev issues, but missed some of the threads. Many of us donated money to her org to help the cause. She bitched at me once as one of her sock puppets when I asked what they were doing with all the money we donated.

I do not love her, and do not care to get into their soap opera.

HOWEVER. Is it reasonable to ignore or disregard all the information that was gathered by BBV?
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. there in lies the problem...but i`m sure there`s other sites
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #10
12.  just use the good stuff (that WE paid for) but not link to it? or...
I havent gone to bbv lately. They used to have COMPREHENSIVE info on all voting equip and state problems etc. Perhaps their info is not needed anymore, and other sites would be as good or better sources. If so it might help to post them here!
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. i`m retired with nothing to do...google is my friend!
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:46 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. lol- I am also a googleholic
I really dont even use that old site, and you are right, many more are out there with plenty of good info. I just had to raise the issue of not throwing babies out with bathwater.
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Truth2Tell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
14. Paul Lehto is credible
I don't think we should throw out the baby with the bathwater. Harris is worthless (to put it mildly), but summarily dismissing anyone or anything remotely associated with her doesn't serve anyone well IMO.
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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #14
20. +1 exactly my thoughts
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
7. A Bev Harris ste? Not just "hell no," but "hell-fucking-the-Flying Spaghetti Monster-no." nt
Edited on Mon Apr-11-11 03:16 PM by blondeatlast
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drm604 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
11. I recced without realizing it was Bev Harris.
Even so, it's hard to dispute the idea that we shouldn't blindly trust electronic voting just because there's no visible evidence of fraud.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. Agreed, and therein lies the rub. I just cannot trust her and that extends to BBV
by extension.

It's a damn shame, but I can't help it.
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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-11-11 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. I can't for the life of me see why anyone would disregard good
and important information (Paul Lehto) because it came from a site for which many still have a sour taste in their mouths. We are all here to learn.
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