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klook

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Hometown: GA
Home country: USA
Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 8,158

About Me

[link:https://www.eff.org/wp/know-your-rights|https://supporters.eff.org/sites/supporters.eff.org/files/styles/large/public/I-do-not-consent-stickerB.jpg] http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5888d178ee14b61b008b9aed-2000/ap17025550597918.jpg https://i.upworthy.com/nugget/58d279863be53a0016000033/attachments/WomensMarch-3ad19d78f472536a5bb697ad2e5047a9.jpg

Journal Archives

1. "We didn't do it."

2. “Everybody does it.”
3. “If we did it, it wouldn’t be a crime.”
4. “We did it.”
5. “Clinton / Obama/ Biden did other stuff that was worse.”

Such a deeply ethical, strong man.

I know our democracy is supposed to be bigger than individuals, but it seems to me today that we’ve lost one of the mightiest pillars of this American era.

What a great example Mr. Cummings set for us all. May we each be inspired to carry on a little piece of his work.

I’ve been in a somber mood all day, unable to post anything about his passing until now. I join everyone here in sending a great collective wail skyward from the depths of our souls.

Today we mourn. Tomorrow we get back to work, as he would want us to do.

The Greyhounds: "Soul Navigator" live

Tasty song from a soulful trio:

202-225-3121 -- light an Impeachment fire under your rep!

That's the phone number for the U.S. Congress switchboard. Call and ask for your representative's office, even if you're cursed with Republican representation -- but especially if your rep is a Democrat. They need to all feel the heat and get moving on impeachment!

Apologies if this is redundant information -- I know this number has been posted many times on DU. But we are truly at a crossroads. With the All Hands Dem caucus meeting tomorrow, this is the time to raise hell.

I'll be calling early Tuesday. Please join me.

NYT Steers Dems Away From the Obvious Formula for Defeating Trump

- FAIR, AUGUST 29, 2019
- JIM NAURECKAS

Thomas Edsall’s demographic analysis is almost always misleading (FAIR.org, 2/10/15, 10/9/15, 6/5/16, 3/30/18, 7/24/19)—and his latest column for the New York Times (8/28/19) is no exception.

“We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is,” the headline complains—with the subhead explaining, “A crucial part of his coalition is made up of better-off white people who did not graduate from college.”

Why does this matter? Edsall’s column is largely a write-up of a paper by two political scientists, Herbert Kitschelt and Philipp Rehm, who note that better-off whites without college degrees “tend to endorse authoritarian noneconomic policies and tend to oppose progressive economic policies,” and are therefore “a constituency that is now decisively committed to the Republican Party.” (By “authoritarian policies,” the researchers are mainly talking about racism and xenophobia.) Low-income, low-education whites, by contrast, “tend to support progressive economic policies and tend to endorse authoritarian policies on the noneconomic dimension,” and are therefore “conflicted in their partisan allegiance.”

What’s at stake in presenting one of these constituencies as “crucial” is how you approach the task of defeating Trump: If he’s turning out his key supporters through race-baiting and immigrant-bashing, the argument goes, then Democrats need to take care not to be too outspoken on issues of race and immigration. And so Edsall confidently concludes:

The 2020 election will be fought over the current loss of certainty—the absolute lack of consensus—on the issue of “race.”… Democrats are convinced of the justness of the liberal, humanistic, enlightenment tradition of expanding rights for racial and ethnic minorities. Republicans, less so…. If Democrats want to give themselves the best shot of getting Trump out of the White House…they must make concerted efforts at pragmatic diplomacy and persuasion—and show a new level of empathy.

(This is an argument Edsall has made before—see “What’s a Non-Racist Way to Appeal to Working-Class Whites? NYT’s Edsall Can’t Think of Any,” FAIR.org, 3/30/18.)


As Naureckas goes on to point out:
So the supposedly “crucial” better-off white non–college grads are about half as plentiful as their poorer counterparts—and they have been voting Republican fairly consistently since 1972, through good years for Republicans and bad. What was actually crucial to Trump’s 2016 success is that the larger group of poorer less-educated whites, which traditionally leans Democratic or splits its vote, went decisively Republican.

- more at link

Sometimes it takes longer to manifest as a recession.

For example, after the yield curve inverted in Feb. 2006, it was Dec. 2007 before the recession began. So this could end up being a flaming bag of dog poop on the incoming Democratic president's White House doorstep some time in early 2021.

Forbes published a handy chart in March 2019 showing different recessions and their yield curve antecedents. Note that several other times, it was about a year between yield curve inversion and the onset of a recession, so it's an inexact science, that's for sure.

One thing I read today is that the government has been buying a lot of Treasury bonds, artificially tightening supply and thereby decreasing the long-term interest rates they pay out. So it's hard to tell if this is really the usual indicator of investor confidence.

However, as this DU thread notes, more and more investors are dumping stocks. So that's another signal that rough times could be ahead.

I confess, I have mixed feelings about it. A stock market downturn will cause a lot of suffering, when that translates to layoffs, retirement fund shrinkage, and other economic problems. However, it could be what it takes to get rid of the Mar-a-Lago Menace, so it may be worth the suffering.

Chances of October 2019 shutdown?

Looking for informed conjecture from other DUers — how likely do you think it is that we’ll have another Federal govt. shutdown this fall?

Supposedly there has been some effort to keep us from going over a “fiscal cliff,” and maybe the Republicans’ appetite for this kind of cruel melodrama has diminished. But there is an appropriations fight looming, and I don’t trust them at all to negotiate in good faith.

I confess, my reason for asking is partly selfish — we have an October family trip planned to the Southwestern U.S., which will be considerably less fun if national parks & monuments are closed to the public. Plans B and C include trips to state parks and more citified activities.

Found the sources below — anybody have better information to share?

https://www.govexec.com/management/2019/08/senate-sends-2-year-budget-deal-trump-shifting-focus-shutdown-averting-spending-bills/158875/

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/26/congress-funding-bill-1681071

I believed elves lived in subterranean houses under the roots of old trees

in the woods near the lake our family often visited. My sister and I would actually see them, just disappearing underground as we approached.

I also believed that all kinds of exotic sea creatures might appear at the shore at the beach where we vacationed in summer, if only one were there at the right time. Ten-foot-long sawfish, hammerhead sharks, those weird bottom-of-the-sea fish with rows of glowing lights along their sides and alluring appendages sprouting from their foreheads to help them catch prey — these could show up, and did, right where I waded and swam every day.

"Blinded by the Light" -- you'll love it

I really enjoyed this big-hearted movie about a 1980s Pakistani-British teenager inspired by the music of Bruce Springsteen. And I’m not even a fan of “The Boss.” It’s directed by Gurinder Chadha (Bend It Like Beckham) and features a soundtrack of not only Springsteen songs but also some great original music by A.R. Rahman (Slumdog Millionaire, The Hundred Foot Journey).

If you are a Springsteen devotee, you already know about this movie and saw it four times in its opening weekend. But even if you’re not, I highly recommend it. It’ll leave you with a lighter step and a fresh outlook on things — at least it did me.


There's never "enough time"

to fix a broken system that benefits Republicans, it seems... It’s never “the right time.”

You damn sure better believe they’d fix it lickety-split if the problem was hurting their chances.

I say we require paper ballots, and send them all to Oregon. Those folks up there seem to have figured out a good system for conducting fair and verifiable elections. Then again, they actually care about democracy.
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