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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Functionally, Clinton will clinch the nomination on June 7. That's just reality [View all]Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)44. I partly agree but mostly disagree. Here's why:
You are correct that Hillary may well clinch the nomination on June 7. That we agree upon.
Yet there are a number of reasons why it is advantageous for the Sanders-led movement, for the Democratic Party, and for Hillary that Sanders continue to campaign and, if necessary, to raise platform contests at the convention.
How does the continuation of the Sanders' campaign help Hillary? Several ways:
The ongoing Sanders campaign gives Hillary an avenue to dominate news cycles with a story other than her email server problem or whatever bullshit twitter post Trump launched the previous day - this prolongs Hillary's opportunity to discuss how her platform will help the middle class and those aspiring to join the middle class;
The ongoing Sanders campaign gives Hillary a foil against which she can cast herself as the Goldilocks "middle choice" between Trump on her right (at least on domestic issues) and Sanders on her left;
The ongoing Sanders campaign gives Hillary a prime time event to make her general election pitch in a forum worth tens of millions of dollars worth of TV ads - it is crazy to pass up on the California debate, which is a golden opportunity in the Golden State to hit a huge audience with her general election message.
How does the continuation of the Sanders' campaign help the Democratic Party? Several ways:
The ongoing Sanders campaign gives the Democratic Party an opportunity to restore the enthusiasm we will need in the Fall if we are going to have a chance at avoiding a Trump administration - the party would hugely benefit from a vigorous debate about party rules (who wouldn't have some of their faith restored by the reform of a process where lobbyists super-delegates are installed to impose their will over grassroots voters?), the party platform (wouldn't it help with Hillary's key weakness by fighting the perception that Hillary is rudderless to adopt a platform that enshrines her shift to the left during the primary?), and the best role for the FDR-Sanders-Warren wing of the party (imagine how much easier it would be to retake the Senate if we empowered he Sanders-led movement to tap its energy on behalf of our Senate candidates in New Hampshire, Colorado, and Wisconsin?);
The ongoing Sanders campaign gives the Democratic Party an opportunity to find common ground - while Sanders continues to get push-back from the party and from Hillary on important progressive issue, of course he will continue to fight for these goals, but you hear more and more Sanders (and Warren) attacks on Trump, and this helps unite the party.
We are Democrats and this is democracy. Democrats should not fear democracy.
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Functionally, Clinton will clinch the nomination on June 7. That's just reality [View all]
cali
May 2016
OP
Clinton's camp is just desperate to create the false notion that all conclusions are foregone.
Betty Karlson
May 2016
#12
The constantly-repeated argument is that because she has a lead, she "has won."
lagomorph777
May 2016
#61
If you actually believe I'm a Clinton supporter you need a reality check in a big way.
cali
May 2016
#43
The times they are a changing', not matter who becomes the nominee. Meantime,
silvershadow
May 2016
#4
Nice post, and a little different than the usual morose kind of fare around here. I agree. This is
highprincipleswork
May 2016
#5
Vanishingly small, but he will be the thorn that the Third Way's throats convulse around
VulgarPoet
May 2016
#40
Thanks, Debbie Downer, for your efforts in the days preceding the Calif primary.
delrem
May 2016
#15
If it was SUCH a foregone conclusion they wouldn't be continuing the manipulative dog and pony shows
Skwmom
May 2016
#18
I came into this cycle hoping to have my assumptions about this nation proved false.
VulgarPoet
May 2016
#20
Man, do the Berniebros eat their own or what? You, a genuine Sanders supporter goes under the bus.
LexVegas
May 2016
#27
Sanders doesn't get special treatment just cause he isn't a Democrat running in our primary.
seabeyond
May 2016
#33
I agree AND believe Bernie should fight hard all the way to the Convention if need be
Tom Rinaldo
May 2016
#37
No, HRC will not have enuf delegates to clinch nomination even after June 7; why
amborin
May 2016
#42
When she clinches a majority of pledged delegates (2026+), it's mere formalities after that.
Garrett78
May 2016
#50
I'm just hoping all this is some sort of ritual where you make downer predictions to keep
MisterP
May 2016
#47
If you think those 2 things are remotely equivalent, you're *way* overselling.
Garrett78
May 2016
#55
You're right: Watergate was just a campaign dirty trick; the e-mails damaged our national security.
lagomorph777
May 2016
#57