Battleground polling snapshot: Romney still can't break out of low 40s

[ProSense]

Battleground polling snapshot: Romney still can't break out of low 40s

by kos

The national picture looks crazy stable, with Romney inching a smidgeon closer over the last several weeks, despite Mitt Romney's really bad Bain weeks. However, Pres. Barack Obama isn't running a national campaign, so it always bears watching how he's doing in the States That Matter.

<...>

The last week featured a flood of polling from the GOP firms Rasmussen and We Ask America, yet Obama continues to enjoy a significant battleground state advantage according to the TPM polling composites.
Michigan is looking more like it should ... thanks to Rasmussen's latest in the state (Obama 48, Romney 42). Obama's Ohio advantage continues to surprise, and even Rasmussen couldn't pretend otherwise (Obama 47, Romney 45 in their latest). We Ask America, a GOP firm, had Obama winning Wisconsin 49-42—more evidence that the Badger State ain't going Red this year.

Colorado is tight or not depending on whether you ask GOP pollster Alex Castellano's outfit (Obama 45-44), or Democratic pollster Garin Hart for Obama Super PAC Priorities USA (Obama 49-42). It all averages out to a tied race.

But aside from the question of who is beating who, my point from last week remains—look at Mitt Romney's numbers:

Of the 14 states, Romney doesn't hit 44 percent in half of them. He only breaks 45 percent in two of them. Meanwhile, Obama fails to hit those numbers only in the two states that have been lean-Republican from the start—Arizona and Missouri. Altogether, these numbers add up to a 332-206 electoral lead for Obama.

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/24/1113244/-Battleground-polling-snapshot-Romney-still-can-t-break-out-of-low-40s

Here's my point:

The current national polls are showing a stagnant race (at best for Romney, a statistical dead heat).

With the emphasis on the economic question, the message from these polls is to loudly proclaim that the "Bain attacks aren't working."

Yet, three polls today show that the Bain/tax return issues have gained significant prominence.

Pew: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021013341

Reuters: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021011120

Daily Kos/SEIU: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021011319

Hell even Gallup had a poll last week showing that the majority of Americans want Romney to release his returns: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002975581

Keep hammering away at Romney on Bain, tax returns and Swiss bank accounts.

[cindyperry2010]

1. polls do not matter

watch the electoral college delegate counts they matter

[Blanks]

2. How many people still don't know about the Obamacare rebate?

I still think that the timing on the rebates is going to help Obamas chances in November.

When the economy gets that little bump and everyone knows why; the house is going to look stupid for trying to repeal it 33 times.

It can't help Romney with his repeal 'Obamacare on day one' stance either.

[1-Old-Man]

3. How can this posting be correct if the other posting about the Gallop Polls is correct too?

Shit don't add up.