Why would North Korea denuclearize

[DemocratSinceBirth]

After

Iraq
Libya
Ukraine

And why didn't that dawn on Trump and his crack team of diplomatic experts ?


I wonder what General Mattis thinks.

[duforsure]

1. Kim is too smart for trump

And now its showing. He knows he'll never be able to trust anything he says .

[antiseptic]

2. If unification happens,

then denuclearization would be irrelevant.

[zipplewrath]

3. Economics

The only way it happens is if there is sufficient economic incentive. That's really hard to achieve because there is a real "chicken and egg" problem. i.e. It's hard to get them to denuclearize before the economic benefits kick in, and after they have kicked in, they lose alot of the incentive to do so.

It's going to take some brilliant diplomacy to pull it off. Trump ain't up to the task.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. If there is no sovereign and my neighbor threatens to kill me

If there is no sovereign and my neighbor threatens to kill me what fiduciary incentive could motivate me to give up my firearms ?

In very rare instances good arms can make good neighbors.

[zipplewrath]

5. Your other neighbor

Your other neighbor offering you a billion dollars to let him protect you.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Only if I trusted him.

Kim no like the Libyan model. I wouldn't want the Colonel's fate either.

[zipplewrath]

7. China

It's why China is unavoidably critical in any hope of disarmament. Very few nations on earth would trust us to replace their own defenses.