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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Fri Aug 17, 2018, 11:42 AM Aug 2018

Worst-case scenario for House GOP is 70-seat wipeout


BY REID WILSON - 08/17/18 11:40 AM EDT

Democratic enthusiasm and a GOP malaise surrounding President Trump have set the stage for a potentially devastating midterm election for the House Republican majority.

In a series of special elections mostly in reliably GOP districts, Democratic candidates have routinely outperformed Hillary Clinton’s share of the vote from 2016.

At the same time, Republican candidates have underperformed President Trump's vote share in all but two special elections.

If that pattern holds in November, the worst-case scenario for the GOP is a truly historic wipeout of as many as 72 House seats, according to The Hill’s analysis of special election results and congressional and presidential returns from 2016.

That would mark the deepest decline for either party in a single election cycle since Harry Truman ran against the "Do Nothing Congress" in 1948.

more
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/402329-worst-case-scenario-for-house-gop-is-70-seat-wipeout
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Worst-case scenario for House GOP is 70-seat wipeout (Original Post) DonViejo Aug 2018 OP
THat would be sweet. .... ProudMNDemocrat Aug 2018 #1
Gerrymandering and vote suppression plus Russian interference will guarantee this will not happen. old guy Aug 2018 #2
Defeatist tripe. BannonsLiver Aug 2018 #4
Thanks for your input. old guy Aug 2018 #7
Thanks for yours. SammyWinstonJack Aug 2018 #8
You're welcome. old guy Aug 2018 #11
Pennsylvania's maps were redrawn crazycatlady Aug 2018 #9
GOTV and kick their asses to the curb. dalton99a Aug 2018 #3
This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Aug 2018 #5
I could deal with a 72 seat pickup NewJeffCT Aug 2018 #6
Hey this is the "Do Nothing Congress" in 2018. UCmeNdc Aug 2018 #10
That would be cathartic. nt chowder66 Aug 2018 #12
I hope so Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Aug 2018 #13

ProudMNDemocrat

(16,793 posts)
1. THat would be sweet. ....
Fri Aug 17, 2018, 11:54 AM
Aug 2018


Ole Mitch McConnell must be seeing what the tea leaves show.. That the Senate is in play now as well with all that has taken place in the past 2 weeks that Democrats will seize on. .

old guy

(3,283 posts)
2. Gerrymandering and vote suppression plus Russian interference will guarantee this will not happen.
Fri Aug 17, 2018, 12:02 PM
Aug 2018

I just hope we gain enough to take control.

crazycatlady

(4,492 posts)
9. Pennsylvania's maps were redrawn
Fri Aug 17, 2018, 12:28 PM
Aug 2018

And PA-18 (old district lines) shows that gerrymandering can be overcome.

Response to DonViejo (Original post)

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
6. I could deal with a 72 seat pickup
Fri Aug 17, 2018, 12:16 PM
Aug 2018

That would give them around 265 seats, and 170 for Republicans. Now, that is a nice majority.

I bet those Sunday morning talk shows will still skew Republican in terms of guests, though.

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