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Latest Quinnipiac poll on Florida governor's race: (Original Post) Kingofalldems Sep 2018 OP
Good, Florida needs some sanity Bettie Sep 2018 #1
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2018 #2
Polls actually showed Gillum gaining ground in a huge way. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #4
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2018 #8
That is not how statistics work. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #9
This is big. First solid poll I've seen about the race. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #3
Maybe Gillum will also save Bill Nelson's seat. comradebillyboy Sep 2018 #5
Gillum will get a lot of minority voters to the polls YessirAtsaFact Sep 2018 #6
It is the correct impression Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #10
Betting markets starting to pay attention Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #7
Great news! honest.abe Sep 2018 #11

Response to Kingofalldems (Original post)

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
4. Polls actually showed Gillum gaining ground in a huge way.
Tue Sep 4, 2018, 03:22 PM
Sep 2018

To the point the momentum swing was recognizable.

Additionally, this isn't as large of a field. Third, it's easier to poll.

Response to NCTraveler (Reply #4)

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
9. That is not how statistics work.
Tue Sep 4, 2018, 03:56 PM
Sep 2018

And these two sentences conflict with one and other.

"A pollster should not just tell me that a candidate is gaining ground. A pollster has to give me a good idea of how far ahead or behind a candidate is."

comradebillyboy

(10,144 posts)
5. Maybe Gillum will also save Bill Nelson's seat.
Tue Sep 4, 2018, 03:22 PM
Sep 2018

Nelson seems to be trying to lose that election. I'm not in Florida but that's the impression I get.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
10. It is the correct impression
Tue Sep 4, 2018, 04:05 PM
Sep 2018

Gillum does need to give Nelson a boost, in energy and activists.

I'm not sure Nelson adjusted to this type of opponent, one who is so well self-funded, or that Nelson realized the Republican Party has really fortified its Florida operation since the last time he defended his senate seat. Nelson really needs to get going. That PAC is pounding him with the puppet ad on TV.

And the Republican yard signs are now up all over the place for every candidate here in Miami, while I don't see any Democratic signs. I knew that was coming. They have now taken major intersections all over the place and plastered them with GOP signs on each corner. You can't help but sit at the traffic light and see the names. However, I haven't seen the afternoon waves of GOP canvassers yet.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
7. Betting markets starting to pay attention
Tue Sep 4, 2018, 03:52 PM
Sep 2018

5 cent DeSantis drop on Predictit, and now only a small favorite

https://www.predictit.org/Market/3542/Which-party-will-win-the-2018-Florida-gubernatorial-race

I knew this poll would cause a shift, because it can't be dismissed as a partisan poll, unlike that initial one a few days ago.

Very interesting that so few are undecided. You never see both candidates adding up so close to 100%, this far removed from election day. But I guess it makes sense, given the clear cut differences.

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