TPM: New poll shows Donnelly ahead in Indiana

[DeminPennswoods]

Link: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/indiana-dem-sen-donnelly-leads-in-new-poll

Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) is hanging onto a small but significant lead against former state Rep. Mike Braun (R), according to a new poll, good news for Democrats in a top GOP Senate target.

Donnelly leads Braun by 44 percent to 41 percent with 8 percent of voters backing Libertarian Lucy Brenton, according to a new poll of likely voters conducted by Marist University for NBC news.

In a head-to-head matchup, Donnelly’s lead grows to 49 percent to 43 percent over Braun.

Link to poll: http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPollIndianaAnnotatedQuestionnaire_September2018_1808311755.pdf

Looks like Marist's LV model is slightly more conservative that just using RVs.

[miss-nasty]

1. I live close to Braun

and this news makes my day!

[D_Master81]

2. i have a cousin who works in the Braun campaign

he says they feel they have a good feeling about their chances, but are concerned b/c there are some Republicans they are talking to when making phone calls that are telling them they will cross over and vote for Donnelly. We'll see, will def be a very close race.

[DeminPennswoods]

3. Do you think the Lib candidate's numbers

will hold up? According to the poll, she's at 8%, and it appears that disgruntled Rs are going to her, but if the choice is just D/R, then they're picking Donnelly.