HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » VOX: Young people say the...

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:14 AM

VOX: Young people say they plan to vote at near-historic highs

Young voters are notoriously difficult to get to vote in midterms, but 2018 could change that.

A high number of young voters could turn out in the 2018 midterms, according to a new poll from the Harvard University Institute of Politics.

The biannual poll released Monday showed that 40 percent of 18- to 29-year olds said they will “definitely vote” in the 2018 midterm elections, a substantial increase from the 2014 and 2010 midterms.

“We believe there is a marked increase in youth turnout, unlike anything we’ve seen in 32 years,” said John Della Volpe, director of polling for the Institute of Politics.

Young people who identify as Democrats are more likely to say they will definitely vote; 54 percent of Democrats, 43 percent of Republicans, and 24 percent of independents told Harvard researchers they would vote. That’s good for Democrats, but there’s also evidence that young Republican voters are becoming more enthusiastic as the election nears.

More: https://www.vox.com/2018/10/29/18037916/young-people-vote-harvard-poll-2018-midterms

19 replies, 975 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 19 replies Author Time Post
Reply VOX: Young people say they plan to vote at near-historic highs (Original post)
Quixote1818 Oct 2018 OP
qazplm135 Oct 2018 #1
Aristus Oct 2018 #2
qazplm135 Oct 2018 #3
Luciferous Oct 2018 #15
herding cats Oct 2018 #10
qazplm135 Oct 2018 #13
qazplm135 Oct 2018 #14
ProfessorGAC Oct 2018 #4
Quixote1818 Oct 2018 #5
ProfessorGAC Oct 2018 #6
MichMan Oct 2018 #7
LanternWaste Oct 2018 #11
Kaleva Oct 2018 #17
Rizen Oct 2018 #9
Shubaka Oct 2018 #8
Iggo Oct 2018 #12
ksoze Oct 2018 #16
Iggo Oct 2018 #18
Wounded Bear Oct 2018 #19

Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:15 AM

1. I'll believe it when I

 

See it

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to qazplm135 (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:18 AM

2. This election cycle is the first one in which my adult grandchildren can vote.

All three of them turned eighteen since the last election. And they're champing at the bit to vote. Their mother has made sure they received their ballots, and will put them in the county drop-box for them when they've been completed.

BTW, they're all voting straight Dem...

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Aristus (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:21 AM

3. That's great for them

 

But it's not the pattern we've seen going back literally generations.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Aristus (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 02:10 PM

15. My daughter is 19 and can't wait to vote! She's also encouraging all of her friends to vote.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to qazplm135 (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 12:05 PM

10. So far, they're way up from 2014.




Over 1.5 million people under the age of 30 have already voted in this country, despite many states making it near impossible for younger people to vote early. This is compared to only 563,000 votes cast in the same time period in 2014.

It's looking much better this cycle.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 01:59 PM

13. how much of that is due to simply an increase in population?

 

I'm certainly not suggesting the entire 1 million increase is due to that, but some of it is.

I'd also want to know how that compares to other age groups. Is 1 million a big deal, or not so much?

So, I don't know from that if it is looking much better or relatively how much better it is looking.

I do know there was a huge gap, so getting much better was required just to get to equity.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 02:04 PM

14. so here's the concern

 

I go to that tweet, I open it up and the bottom line number I find is that 18-29 year olds make up less than 7% of all voters.

7. Percent.

30-39 is 8 percent.

40-49 is 11 percent.

50-64 is almost 30 percent.

64 and above is a whopping 44 percent.

So three quarters of the electorate is over 50. And we wonder why old, white people are most likely to get their needs tended to.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:23 AM

4. That's Weird

This thread interprets the data in a different way.

[link:https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=11346186|

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ProfessorGAC (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:33 AM

5. Enthusiasm is about 17% higher than the last midterm

Of course not everyone who says they will vote does but even so, we should have higher youth vote this round.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Reply #5)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:49 AM

6. Well, Cool!

But we have two threads saying just about the opposite regarding that same demographic.

So, it calls into question method and which one to trust.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ProfessorGAC (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:51 AM

7. We will believe the one that suits our narrative...

and dismiss the others as bogus

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MichMan (Reply #7)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 12:09 PM

11. Or simply and quietly question all of them, and forget about all of them on the sixth.

Though it's great fun to pretend to know what "we'll" do, it's valid simply to affect what "I'll" do.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MichMan (Reply #7)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 02:13 PM

17. The title of the other thread is bogus.

OP tries to give the impression that a 31% turnout would be dismal but in truth, it'd be a record breaker for a midterm election for that age group. Add the 26% who say they will probably vote and you beat the 2016 election turnout for that age group.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ProfessorGAC (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:56 AM

9. The title of that thread is misleading

57% say they will definitely or probably vote (31+26% respectively) according to this thread
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=11346186
titled: ..."just a third say they'll vote."

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 11:56 AM

8. Vote

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 12:10 PM

12. Did they ask this follow-up question: "Are you registered to vote?"

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 02:11 PM

16. Reality: Young people say they plan on cleaning their room

They don't.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ksoze (Reply #16)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 03:13 PM

18. For the reals. (n/t)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2018, 03:16 PM

19. Getting a lot of conflicting numbers here...

guess we'll have to wait and see come next Tuesday.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread