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OAITW r.2.0

(28,526 posts)
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 10:41 PM Nov 2018

Just 37% of eligible voters voted in 2014.

I think there will be 60% in this election. Of the 23% increase, I think they break 70/30 for Democrats. This is going to be a wave election. I will be happy to revisit if I am wrong.

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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roamer65

(37,223 posts)
11. The polls will def be inaccurate.
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:34 PM
Nov 2018

The new voters showing up for this midterm means that they have a reason for doing it. It does not bode well for Dump and the Repukes.

Wounded Bear

(60,772 posts)
2. That's what the early voting tallies are saying...
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 10:49 PM
Nov 2018

already surpassed 2014 numbers and approaching 2016 numbers.

Would love to see 2008/12 numbers this cycle. That would bury the Repub party.

AlexSFCA

(6,273 posts)
5. why can't we have 70%+ consistently voting?
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:02 PM
Nov 2018

if vast mahority votes in each and every election, there would be no division.

OAITW r.2.0

(28,526 posts)
6. It's all about the impediments to vote.
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:05 PM
Nov 2018

We need to make it easier for people to vote and encourage it in our civic life.

AlexSFCA

(6,273 posts)
7. it doesnt get any easier to vote than in California
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:12 PM
Nov 2018

and yet participation is often abysmally low, especially in non prez elections which often matter more on local/state level where each vote really counts.

OAITW r.2.0

(28,526 posts)
8. Interesting...but you are in a very progressive state, relative to the other 49.
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:17 PM
Nov 2018

It becomes easier to bail when everyone else has your back.

AlexSFCA

(6,273 posts)
10. not quite
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:31 PM
Nov 2018

a state where people voted to eliminate same sex marriage after it was made legal (2008), a state where gop governor served 8 years, a state with largest number of neo nazi groups and a number of very conservative counties. I drive less than 100 miles from SF right into trumpland. Even in a progressive state, voting is everything, especially on local level. There are right wing people trying to sneak in to smaller positions like city councils, school boards, county supervisors, etc. Always have to watch out.

OAITW r.2.0

(28,526 posts)
12. Got it....I suppose we have our delusions about certain states.
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:34 PM
Nov 2018

You make a good point that the reality is not what outsiders think it is....

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
9. Sounds right. Democrats are more likely to sit out midterms.
Mon Nov 5, 2018, 11:30 PM
Nov 2018

If more people are voting, they should break more heavily toward democrats as the number goes up.

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