Why is there so much concern about 538?

[lapucelle]

Those are real time projections that update as results come in. As per Nate:

Link to tweet

[TlalocW]

1. People are seeing the swings and freaking out

Without knowing the reason behind them. Nate says (in that tweet and elsewhere) that the model is too aggressive.

TlalocW

[BumRushDaShow]

2. I am glad they are pulling back the reins on it

because it is driving some people on DU ridiculously insane.

[boston bean]

3. Which is why he shouldn't be giving percentages on who will win the house in real time.

It is useless information and spin.

[Awsi Dooger]

7. Nate's models are in their infancy

I mentioned that on several sites. He is tinkering with them tonight even as numbers are changing.

They will be significantly different in 2020.

The House is everything. I don't blame people for freaking out.

[boston bean]

9. It is fucking useless.

[TomSlick]

4. Beats me.

I can't worry about Nate right now - the game is on.

[Lotusflower70]

5. It's nerve wracking

Some people are stressed by the constant swing of the pendulum.

[gay texan]

6. There is so much riding on this

I mean, I get it. The soul of this nation is at stake

[budkin]

8. It was a major fuckup by them

Nate is getting torn up right now over it.

[Denzil_DC]

10. Impatience can drive you to an early grave:

Link to tweet

Daniel Larison
@DanielLarison

If you have a better idea for giving strangers aneurysms, let’s hear it

Julian Sanchez @normative

I swear I will never understand the amount of energy and attention devoted to realtime predictive modeling of an outcome we’re all going to know in like three hours.

Link to tweet

…

[cmb1729]

11. Everybody is shell shocked...

I don't blame anyone for freaking out, but yeah we need to try to stay confident and it isn't easy after 2016.