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Post removed (Original Post) Post removed Nov 2018 OP
Seems normal to me manor321 Nov 2018 #1
This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Nov 2018 #25
Errors in recounts breaking our way exboyfil Nov 2018 #26
Provisional is required if the voter name was not in the Express Poll. greymattermom Nov 2018 #27
You saw what I have been seeing. nt Blue_true Nov 2018 #32
This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Nov 2018 #42
How the hell does stuff like this happen Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2018 #38
Local Republicans sfwriter Nov 2018 #44
Local politics is sexy Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2018 #45
In traditionally repub controlled states, local election officials have been appointed by repub unitedwethrive Nov 2018 #46
Because republicans are lyin thieves and actually hate democracy workinclasszero Nov 2018 #48
not just you dweller Nov 2018 #2
"Early" is when they are sent in, not counted manor321 Nov 2018 #3
no, dweller Nov 2018 #7
Not everybody voted early. LisaL Nov 2018 #12
Right. nt Blue_true Nov 2018 #33
Mail-in/absentee and provisionals aren't appearing, they are just time-consuming to count RockRaven Nov 2018 #4
So why is any race decided before all the votes are counted...period? Crutchez_CuiBono Nov 2018 #8
In this particular case, isn't that what is going on? LisaL Nov 2018 #13
Oh...you know me...just problematic CC. Crutchez_CuiBono Nov 2018 #41
Usually the gap is bigger than the number of outstanding ballots karynnj Nov 2018 #17
Races aren't decided before then. Codeine Nov 2018 #21
Please give an example of a race that was decided Mariana Nov 2018 #22
I am with you. That is an absurd claim for a progressive to make. Blue_true Nov 2018 #35
The network say outright when they "call" a race Mariana Nov 2018 #36
Especially this time. Crutchez_CuiBono Nov 2018 #40
Just because the news says that X won by y votes does not mean anything LiberalArkie Nov 2018 #31
Races are "called" usually by the Associated Press or media LeftInTX Nov 2018 #59
I'm waiting on the Beto ballots. fierywoman Nov 2018 #5
Is there a recount in that race? Sugarcoated Nov 2018 #6
Not that I'm aware of. But those hinky machines that were talked about -- if you voted fierywoman Nov 2018 #10
What do you mean by if you "didn't wait long enough?" pangaia Nov 2018 #34
Here:(you know Juanita Jean?) fierywoman Nov 2018 #47
Jesus ! Sounds like the same guy who designed G-MAIL and/or QUICKEN . pangaia Nov 2018 #58
(you're very welcome, as always.) fierywoman Nov 2018 #60
I don't know what it is like in other parts of Texas DFW Nov 2018 #9
It's just you. LisaL Nov 2018 #11
I'm amazed! It's Cha Nov 2018 #14
Palm beach county should have let the candidates and media know many ballots uncounted FloridaBlues Nov 2018 #15
Who makes the decision to count the "most Democratic" counties last?? kentuck Nov 2018 #16
Democratic counties are usually large urban counties. LisaL Nov 2018 #18
they aren't counting them last. it just takes longer to count them because there are far more people JI7 Nov 2018 #19
I think, what you're seeing is a combination of Baitball Blogger Nov 2018 #20
Also: 4) An increase in early, mail-in, and absentee voting in response to long lines & FSogol Nov 2018 #23
Yes sfwriter Nov 2018 #24
Hinky vote counting, provisional ballots not counted, etc. .... NoMoreRepugs Nov 2018 #28
Ballots aren't "appearing" Adrahil Nov 2018 #29
What narrative? sfwriter Nov 2018 #51
It is normal. Blue_true Nov 2018 #30
I don't care either way as long as they're Democratic ballots gopiscrap Nov 2018 #37
It seems like your question is now the Repug party-line... regnaD kciN Nov 2018 #39
Of course it is... sfwriter Nov 2018 #52
Most of the time the number of absentee ballots is not enough to affect the results of the election Snake Plissken Nov 2018 #43
This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Nov 2018 #54
I used to think the reports of their cheating was exaggerated, not anymore Snake Plissken Nov 2018 #56
I know you are concerned obamanut2012 Nov 2018 #49
This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Nov 2018 #50
Funding? Demwolv Nov 2018 #53
This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Nov 2018 #55
It's absolutely normal for FL poll workers to toss Dem votes. joshcryer Nov 2018 #57
That's true. sfwriter Nov 2018 #62
Our wanting instant results hurts the process Buckeyeblue Nov 2018 #61
 

manor321

(3,344 posts)
1. Seems normal to me
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 02:33 AM
Nov 2018

Lots of small town rural conservative locations have few votes to count and can turn things in quickly. Larger metropolitan areas and mail in votes (which take longer to arrive) lean Democratic.

Plus, we had HUGE turnout.

Response to manor321 (Reply #1)

exboyfil

(17,862 posts)
26. Errors in recounts breaking our way
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:40 AM
Nov 2018

Kind of like when you review your grocery receipt and notice every error in pricing was in the store's favor. Kind of a statistical anomaly... or is it.

greymattermom

(5,754 posts)
27. Provisional is required if the voter name was not in the Express Poll.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:41 AM
Nov 2018

Kemp removed names of many voters who haven't voted recently. In my upscale, 60% Republican precinct in Dunwoody, we had 1 of those out of 700 voters. On the other hand, someone I know who lives in a heavily immigrant neighborhood in Stone Mountain told me that all ballots in her precinct had to be provisional. These are both Atlanta suburbs.

Response to greymattermom (Reply #27)

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
38. How the hell does stuff like this happen
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:00 PM
Nov 2018

We are totally incompetent at running our elections- or certain individuals are anyway- deliberately or accidentally.

unitedwethrive

(1,997 posts)
46. In traditionally repub controlled states, local election officials have been appointed by repub
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:41 PM
Nov 2018

Secretary of State’s offices, and many do not have any Democratic representation. This must be changed on a national legislative level, since national elections are often involved (among many other reasons).

dweller

(23,629 posts)
2. not just you
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 02:35 AM
Nov 2018

I also wonder why they are just now counting early votes ?

I mean, voting early is a head start, avoiding Election Day crowds, etc..

so, early votes are only counted later ?
during recounts ?
or not at all ?

wtf ?
🤔

 

manor321

(3,344 posts)
3. "Early" is when they are sent in, not counted
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 02:41 AM
Nov 2018

No votes are counted until election day.

If early votes are on paper, instead of on electronic machines, or fed to electronic machines, it takes time to count them.

dweller

(23,629 posts)
7. no,
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:31 AM
Nov 2018

early is voted a week + before Election Day ... In sites set up for early voting...
paper ballots tabulated by machines that record the vote ...

✌🏼️

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
12. Not everybody voted early.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:10 AM
Nov 2018

Some people got early ballots but dropped them off on election day.

"But about 195,000 came from those who received early ballots but chose to drop them off at polling places Tuesday."

https://tucson.com/news/local/ballots-remain-uncounted-across-arizona-leaving-several-races-in-the/article_aa0b15d4-4a08-5689-91e3-74f899fffc4f.html

RockRaven

(14,966 posts)
4. Mail-in/absentee and provisionals aren't appearing, they are just time-consuming to count
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 02:41 AM
Nov 2018

so they continue to be added to the totals as they are processed. The number of returned ballots waiting to be counted are known in these places, there is no mystery where they are coming from.

In many cases they do favor the Dems, but that is because the not-yet-counted backlogs in question are from more urban/population dense areas which are bluer on average.

Crutchez_CuiBono

(7,725 posts)
8. So why is any race decided before all the votes are counted...period?
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:42 AM
Nov 2018

Count the votes, let us know. What's the point of early voting if they dont even figure into a rush to judgement "win"? Usually for the gop. Sick of this.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
13. In this particular case, isn't that what is going on?
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:12 AM
Nov 2018

Race wasn't decided before the ballots were counted. So I don't understand what you are having a problem with.

karynnj

(59,503 posts)
17. Usually the gap is bigger than the number of outstanding ballots
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:56 AM
Nov 2018

Or at least greater than the highest reasonable estimate of the margin for the candidate with the fewer all ready counted votes that will be deemed valid. One article on Florida quoted Marc Elias as having had to tell candidates that the numbers were not there AND that he never told Nelson that.

In the case of both Florida races and Arizona, the gaps were very small and there were significant numbers of votes not yet processed even as all the districts reported their voting day machine totals. I suspect what we saw this time is many very close races AND an increase in provisional ballot voting ( because of obstacles to voting increasing ?????) Note the latter explains why we are the ones winning close races when those votes are allowed. They are the ones using voter suppression.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
21. Races aren't decided before then.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:47 AM
Nov 2018

They’re often “called” before then, but no election is complete until results are certified, which is often quite a while after Election Day.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
35. I am with you. That is an absurd claim for a progressive to make.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:53 AM
Nov 2018

Usually when networks call a race, the outstanding votes that are to be counted won't change the basic outcome. But with more people mailing in ballots, the old dynamic has shifted.

Mariana

(14,856 posts)
36. The network say outright when they "call" a race
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:58 AM
Nov 2018

that it's a projection. They're making an educated guess. They do not claim their projections are the same as final results.

LiberalArkie

(15,715 posts)
31. Just because the news says that X won by y votes does not mean anything
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:46 AM
Nov 2018

it is who the secretary of state certifies that matters. That sometimes takes quite a while.

LeftInTX

(25,294 posts)
59. Races are "called" usually by the Associated Press or media
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:30 PM
Nov 2018

It is based on statistics.
It is non-binding and a media thing.

However, official counts continue afterward. (Obama's count after 2012 kept rising for several weeks)

In this election, we have some close calls in high profile races.

fierywoman

(7,683 posts)
10. Not that I'm aware of. But those hinky machines that were talked about -- if you voted
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:02 AM
Nov 2018

straight Dem but didn't wait long enough it went over to Cruz -- haunts me.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)
58. Jesus ! Sounds like the same guy who designed G-MAIL and/or QUICKEN .
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:29 PM
Nov 2018




I have three college degrees and I can barely understand it.

Thanks.


DFW

(54,369 posts)
9. I don't know what it is like in other parts of Texas
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:46 AM
Nov 2018

But Dallas County is very good about sending me my absentee ballots very early. I sent in my vote for Beto and the rest of the Democratic slate for Texas (voted individually, not straight party) more than three weeks before the election.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
11. It's just you.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:08 AM
Nov 2018

Ballots don't appear out of thin air.
In big states like AZ there are lots of ballots that haven't been counted by the evening of the election day.
Provisional ballots, absentee ballots, etc.
AZ especially has a large number of such ballots, the same was in the last election.

FloridaBlues

(4,008 posts)
15. Palm beach county should have let the candidates and media know many ballots uncounted
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:37 AM
Nov 2018

Every vote matters. Look for s Repub food fight down here.

kentuck

(111,089 posts)
16. Who makes the decision to count the "most Democratic" counties last??
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:40 AM
Nov 2018

Which, in close races, would make it look as if the Republicans have insurmountable leads, causing some Democrats to concede their races too early?

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
18. Democratic counties are usually large urban counties.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:58 AM
Nov 2018

It takes longer for them to count than for small rural counties.

JI7

(89,248 posts)
19. they aren't counting them last. it just takes longer to count them because there are far more people
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:59 AM
Nov 2018

in democratic leaning areas.

this is why people always think republicans are leading in california when the numbers first start being reported.

Baitball Blogger

(46,703 posts)
20. I think, what you're seeing is a combination of
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:44 AM
Nov 2018

1) New voters making newbie mistakes that force them to use provisional ballots. For example, many new voters who registered in the waning months may have moved from one county to the next. If they went to vote in their new precinct and didn't have time to update their addresses, they would have been required to use a provisional ballot.

2) Voter suppression tactics that force voters to use those provisional ballots, which do not always get counted. Well, guess what? As long as Democratic candidates do not concede, those votes have to be dug up and counted.

3) Larger population and the machines may not have been updated.

FSogol

(45,481 posts)
23. Also: 4) An increase in early, mail-in, and absentee voting in response to long lines &
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:55 AM
Nov 2018

voter suppression on election days

5) Backwater RW states not assigning enough people to tally votes quickly.

 

sfwriter

(3,032 posts)
24. Yes
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:31 AM
Nov 2018

These causes seem to be the main ones. Democrats shouldn’t concede anymore until provisionals and mail ins get counted.

NoMoreRepugs

(9,417 posts)
28. Hinky vote counting, provisional ballots not counted, etc. ....
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:42 AM
Nov 2018

It's common in a third world country like ours.



 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
29. Ballots aren't "appearing"
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:44 AM
Nov 2018

IN some areas, ballots keep arriving until election day. I a few, they can even be MAILED by election day.

Amd all these ballots have to be counted by HAND. IN some cases, they just have big bins of ballots and don;t even know how many they have.

Don't feed the narrative.

 

sfwriter

(3,032 posts)
51. What narrative?
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:08 PM
Nov 2018

The Republicans "lost" an entire bin of provisional ballots in one state. This wasn't the "narrative" yesterday when I posted. The Republicans created a "narrative" out of it to hide the scale of it. I haven't seen this before. I asked if it was out of scale. I'd like to see hard numbers.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
30. It is normal.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:45 AM
Nov 2018

The turnout in the election was huge. For some reason, a large percentage of blue voters like to mailin, often last minute.

gopiscrap

(23,758 posts)
37. I don't care either way as long as they're Democratic ballots
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:58 AM
Nov 2018

I'm all for us cheating if it wins us elections, some times that's the only way to win against the crooked repukes

 

sfwriter

(3,032 posts)
52. Of course it is...
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:13 PM
Nov 2018

They are accusing us of what they have done. These ballots are a sign of their voter suppression. But suspect a DUer... that makes sense.

Snake Plissken

(4,103 posts)
43. Most of the time the number of absentee ballots is not enough to affect the results of the election
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:20 PM
Nov 2018

so nobody notices, and in some cases they aren't even counted if the losing candidate concedes, by recognizing that even if they received 100% of the uncounted votes it still wouldn't be enough to change the outcome.

Response to Snake Plissken (Reply #43)

Snake Plissken

(4,103 posts)
56. I used to think the reports of their cheating was exaggerated, not anymore
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:57 PM
Nov 2018

It's painfully obvious that criminality and corruption are the foundation that keeps the GOP from collapsing.

In fact they openly cry about being treated unfairly if they are required to play be the rules like everyone else.

Response to obamanut2012 (Reply #49)

 

Demwolv

(88 posts)
53. Funding?
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:13 PM
Nov 2018

Someone PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong, but is funding an issue in these counties? I feel like there has to be a reason why large minority (and mostly Dem) precincts will only have 3 voting machines and wealthier areas will have 5+ for far less people.

I assume that lack of funding = less people working for the precinct = slower vote count = what we see now? I've only ever voted on paper ballot and I was in a new precinct this year and they had close to 15 partitioned off areas for people to vote on, so I don't always know how voting machines work and how they're counted.

Response to Demwolv (Reply #53)

joshcryer

(62,270 posts)
57. It's absolutely normal for FL poll workers to toss Dem votes.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:59 PM
Nov 2018

It's absolutely tradition at this point.

There have been numerous elections where entire boxes of votes were found in trash heaps. I'm not even exaggerating.

 

sfwriter

(3,032 posts)
62. That's true.
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:48 PM
Nov 2018

I guess its just more critical this time? Trumpies just howl more when they are caught at it?

Buckeyeblue

(5,499 posts)
61. Our wanting instant results hurts the process
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:44 PM
Nov 2018

Especially since all we see are the votes counted. We don't see how many votes are left to count. Each precinct should have to provide the total number of ballots cast. There should be some sort of reconciliation back to that number.

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