What the 2020 electoral map would look like, if Tuesday's results remain the same:

[sandensea]

The map was prepared by Princeton's Sam Wang.

Read more at: http://election.princeton.edu/2018/11/07/electoral-maps-based-on-2018-results/

[NNadir]

1. Sam Wang is a great guy, and a fine neuroscientist. He's terrible though, at predicting...

...political outcomes, as both the Kerry and Clinton Landslides show.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

3. Yeah, he had us at like 99% for 2016.

[EleanorR]

5. 107,000 votes over three states

Gave us trump. STOLEN

[mwooldri]

2. I'd dispute NC.

For some strange reason, the Democrats did not put up a candidate in District 3. Thus Walter Jones was returned with all of the votes cast.

So if one did add up all the votes for R and D in the congressional races and said that is how NC would vote... well a significant part of the population didn't get to vote for a D because there was no D to vote for.

If the NC Democratic Party gets a good ground game going for 2020 then NC is definitely in play for the Presidential election.

[Takket]

4. Florida should be red

[tandem5]

6. Yeah if Gillum's not governor you might as well consider Florida red.

We need at least the governorship to rein in the "irregularities" and suppression.

[Garrett78]

7. We can't count on Florida, Iowa or Arizona.

By my count, we have 210 electoral votes in the bag (I'm including Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia). Republicans have 126 (198 if you consider Texas, Ohio and Georgia out of reach).

[Awsi Dooger]

8. Good call

Iowa and Arizona are easily the shaky ones on that list.

Florida has to be favored GOP, unless our candidate wins by 3+ points nationally.

IMO, Trump can't win Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania unless he wins the national popular vote, instead of losing by 2+ points like 2016. He might have to win nationally by 2+ points to carry those states.

[Garrett78]

9. Amending my last post, I'd say we have 222 electoral votes in the bag. Not including WI, MI, PA, MN.

If we win WI, MI, PA and MN, we get to 278. If we lose a single one of those and don't win any other battleground states (of which there are very few), we fall short. And that's assuming our nominee will definitely win NV, CO, NM and VA.

I like our chances, but the electoral college certainly gives the Republican nominee (presumably Trump in 2020) a pretty decent shot. Even more infuriating is the fact that about 40% of the Senate seats are locked up by Republicans, whereas we have maybe 30%.

[SoCalDem]

10. 279 will do just fine..any extra is "gravy"