Dam, NOAA is predicting as much as 40 to 50 inches of snow in the mountains North of Phoenix

[Quixote1818]

Last edited Thu Feb 21, 2019, 01:49 AM - Edit history (1)

Tonight Snow showers likely, mainly after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Thursday Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. Windy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 23 to 29 inches possible.

Thursday Night Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 29. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible.

Friday Snow showers. High near 29. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

?afa9ccba8b3c6e018d6ae954dea1f139

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-111.3189697265625&lat=33.686639073260906&fbclid=IwAR0c_r7KZpitnNZFYTlLt7dtkSHwDlHEhIOtRKjSa1N-3rmtzIeMQFZxuXQ

[GoCubsGo]

1. Well, that ought to fill up the reservoirs when it melts.

They could sure use that.

[Quixote1818]

2. Parts of AZ are in drought

So this is great news for them: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?AZ

[LongtimeAZDem]

6. It won't be that much, but it will help

[GoCubsGo]

12. It's the equivalent of 4-5 inches of rain.

That's a pretty hefty dose of precipitation.

[LongtimeAZDem]

13. I use this site to keep an eye on it:

http://www.forestlakesweather.com/web/live_camera.html

[Bradshaw3]

3. Hunkered down and stocked up

Bring it on! We'll see if it's as much as advertised.

[Quixote1818]

4. Share photos in a couple of days nt

[LongtimeAZDem]

5. Hoping for a good snowpack in the watersheds this year

[Quixote1818]

7. This is one of the websites I watch for snowpack and water year precip

There has been a lot of moisture in S. AZ but way too much has melted off:

https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/webmap/#version=80.2&elements=&networks=!&states=!&counties=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=all&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=false&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=station&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&year=2019&month=2&day=19&monthPart=E&forecastPubMonth=2&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&seqColor=1&divColor=3&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1981&referenceEnd=2010&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&lat=35.738&lon=-107.435&zoom=6.0


Workman Creek is above normal for precip but the snow is almost gone way too early. This storm will help: https://wcc.sc.egov.usda.gov/reportGenerator/view/customChartReport/daily/877:AZ:SNTL%7cid=%22%22%7cname/CurrentWY,CurrentWYEnd/WTEQ::value,WTEQ::median_1981,PREC::value,PREC::average_1981?fitToScreen=false

[LongtimeAZDem]

8. The slightly good news is that our reservoirs for the Valley have gone up 10% in a month

And are now close to last year's levels. A modest snow-pack should put us into a safe range for a bit.

Of course, then our idiot legislature will say "crisis over; build more golf courses".

[Quixote1818]

9. Yep, this is an El Nino year so this was kind of expected

Next winter a lot of moisture is a lot less likely. What is scary is if you click on most of the Southern NM and AZ SNOTEL sites, the amount of rainfall is above normal but the snowpack is abysmal. Probably somewhat global warming related.

[912gdm]

10. Wow... Not a local or mountain dweller,

but that seems excessive... If anyone is affected, stay safe and post pictures

[Yosemito]

11. "Above 7000 feet"

[LongtimeAZDem]

14. A good chunk of the state is that high

it's most of the green area:

[MineralMan]

15. Arizona gets more snow than most people realize.

Flagstaff is noted for it. In fact, I remember driving back to California after being discharged from the USAF at Ft. Meade, MD, in 1969. I was driving a 1959 Volvo 544. packed with all my worldly possessions. As I approached Flagstaff, the snow was coming down hard. I had very little experience with driving in snow. Then, I came up behind a snowplow, and decided to draft that plow. It worked great. A little slow, for sure, but I had a clear road all the way.

[workinclasszero]

18. Yup

When I left the USAF and drove home from California, I passed through Flagstaff and was amazed too.

[panader0]

16. Colder than normal winter here south of Sierra Vista.

I'm at 4650 feet--Miller peak, close nearby is 9500.
I've gone through a lot more firewood than usual.
I worn out from splitting wood and it's gonna get in the teens
tonight. Enough!

[kentuck]

17. Up around Flagstaff...

They can get a good bit of snow.