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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy Trump Will Lose in 2020
New York TimesWith several major Democratic primary candidates having declared, the palace intrigue of Americas 2020 presidential election is already in nearly full swing. But what if I were to tell you that barring a significant unforeseen shock to the system, the outcome of 2020 is already set in stone?
The high levels of hyperpartisanship and polarization in the electorate have profoundly affected the political behavior of Americans and, by extension, made the outcome of our elections highly predictable.
Always powerful, partisanship has become the be-all and end-all for American voters. With these political dynamics, a person accused of sexual misconduct against teenage girls and young women can run for and win upward of 90 percent of his partys vote as the Republican Roy Moore did, according to exit polls, in the special Senate election in Alabama in 2017.
Yet a key aspect of polarization has been somewhat overlooked: negative partisanship. Voters with this attitude are mobilized not by love of their own party so much as by hatred of the opposition party. Negative partisanship especially benefits the party that doesnt hold the presidency, because out-party voters find themselves living in a world where their political preferences are under constant assault, or at least appear to be so.
The high levels of hyperpartisanship and polarization in the electorate have profoundly affected the political behavior of Americans and, by extension, made the outcome of our elections highly predictable.
Always powerful, partisanship has become the be-all and end-all for American voters. With these political dynamics, a person accused of sexual misconduct against teenage girls and young women can run for and win upward of 90 percent of his partys vote as the Republican Roy Moore did, according to exit polls, in the special Senate election in Alabama in 2017.
Yet a key aspect of polarization has been somewhat overlooked: negative partisanship. Voters with this attitude are mobilized not by love of their own party so much as by hatred of the opposition party. Negative partisanship especially benefits the party that doesnt hold the presidency, because out-party voters find themselves living in a world where their political preferences are under constant assault, or at least appear to be so.
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Why Trump Will Lose in 2020 (Original Post)
brooklynite
Jun 2019
OP
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)1. Very interesting! nt
ecstatic
(32,704 posts)2. I wish they'd focus more attention on securing our elections.
trump loses to any of our candidates, in a landslide, but only if our elections are free, fair, and secured.
dawg day
(7,947 posts)3. With these political dynamics, a person accused of sexual misconduct against teenage girls and young
With these political dynamics, a person accused of sexual misconduct against teenage girls and young women can run for and win upward of 90 percent of his partys vote
This could also refer to Trump.