Ipsos/Reuters convention tracking poll shows Mittens in lead with convention bounce

[WI_DEM]

Mitt Romney has moved into a narrow lead over U.S. President Barack Obama in a small bounce for him from the Republican National Convention, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found on Thursday.

Romney entered the week four points behind Obama in the first installment of a Reuters/Ipsos rolling poll, with Obama leading 46 percent to 42 percent.

But the most recent daily rolling poll gave Romney a two-point lead of 44 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.

The former governor of Massachusetts has been in the spotlight at the convention in Tampa, Florida, and was to make his acceptance speech on Thursday night in the biggest test of his White House bid.

Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said the poll results were proof that Romney is getting a positive outcome from the three-day Republican gathering.

"I'd say the convention is going very well for him," she said.

So-called convention "bounces" are typically short-lived. With Obama to accept his party's nomination for a second term next week at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, the incumbent could quickly rebound.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/30/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE87T1DV20120830

[ProSense]

1. This is pathetic.

"I'd say the convention is going very well for him," she said.

First of all it's a likely voter model on a convention tracking poll.

Still, from the article.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll also found signs that Romney's likability rating is slowly improving among voters, two days after his wife, Ann, talked up her husband's personal attributes and declared, "This man will not fail."

While he still trails Obama by almost 20 points on likability, Romney is now at 30 percent for "likable," up from 26 percent on Monday.

And 32 percent reported Romney is a "good person," up from 29 percent on Monday. Obama still leads by 10 points in this category.

His "likability" is up four points to 30 percent? That's atrocious.

[Cicada]

2. Do we know how accurate online interview polls are?

Zogby used to use this technique and it seems to have led to his ruin. What evidence is there that poll interviews conducted online are accurate?

[sadbear]

3. And after tonight, those numbers will go back down.

No worries.