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Sat Sep 21, 2019, 06:57 PM

Global economists predict the world's lowest growth in a decade

https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/19/economy/oecd-global-growth-slowdown/index.html

New York (CNN Business)The world economy is slowing, and it could be headed toward a recession.

The Organization of Economic Co-Operation and Development, an intergovernmental economic group, just slashed its forecast for global growth to a decade low.

The OECD projects the world economy will grow just 2.9% in 2019, which would be the lowest forecast since 2009. In 2020, growth is predicted to inch up to 3%. Just 18 months ago, the organization still expected 4% growth.

Global growth at 3% or less constitutes a recession, according to past definitions used by the International Monetary Fund.
The G20 nations are expected to grow 3.1% this year and 3.2% next year, as per the updated outlook. US growth was cut to 2.4% in 2019 and 2% in the following year.

The US-China trade war and its impact on global manufacturing and trade growth are to blame for this bleak forecast, according to the OECD. Brexit also remains a big question mark, and the slowdown of China's massive economy presents its own set of challenges for the world.

The ongoing trade tensions are also weighing on business investments and confidence, which just adds to the uncertainty. The sluggish business investment has created an investment gap that will have a long-term and structural impact on growth, according to OECD chief economist Laurence Boone. This could mean slower growth becomes the new normal.

"An urgent response is required, failing which we run the risk of finding ourselves stuck in a long period of growth, the brunt of which will be felt primarily by the most vulnerable," said Boone in a blog post.


That's all the text. There is video at the link.

The world is growing tired of winning. America is a consumer economy. And consumers are starting to cut back and save more.

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Sat Sep 21, 2019, 07:06 PM

1. "The US-China trade war and its impact on global manufacturing and trade growth


are to blame for this bleak forecast, according to the OECD.

Gee what a surprise!

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Sat Sep 21, 2019, 08:05 PM

2. Ahhh, so much winning, eh? Yes I agree w/ you, consumers are cutting back, being that we didn't ...

get any big tax breaks. And you are right, the economy of the US is driven by consumer spending...if one recalls, they were begging all of us to spend money back after the 2008 crash. Of course rump is going to be way behind the curve on this time around and the damage is going to be great and take more repair being that rump is org. the economy for him and rich cronies in the driver's seat. Another serious mistake on their part, in that they putting more money in the pockets of the rich, while increasing costs for everyone else in the meantime.

What did they expect? They are not driving the economy as it should be driven, but driving it for their tax cuts and these people don't spend it like the rest of us have to. Disgusting as usual.

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Response to SWBTATTReg (Reply #2)

Sat Sep 21, 2019, 10:08 PM

3. The wealthy don't spend enough. Lower income consumers spend a lot

and are the ones who drive the economy, especially at the local level for the necessities of life.

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Response to IronLionZion (Reply #3)

Sun Sep 22, 2019, 07:44 AM

4. Yes, we know this. Consumer driven economics. An significant portion of the economy, some ...

estimates as much as 60-80% of the economy.

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Sun Sep 22, 2019, 08:54 AM

5. WaPo's article is recession may depend on our Xmas shopping,

at least for the near future.

Another that the U.S. is far less vulnerable to Sawdi Arabia's "oil troubles" than we used to be, so that's a little encouragement at least.

And China's reportedly done well in meeting its emissions goals so far, but it's feared economic problems may lessen the scope of action against environment/climate change as they put together their new 5-year plan. And the planet depends on China "hanging tough."



It's like the planet's currently in a perfect superstorm, with our RW insanity a mega hurricane enveloping it all.

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