KS-SEN: Could Democrats Win a Senate Seat In Kansas?
Democrats have won just one statewide race in Kansas over the last decade, but Kris Kobach’s potential nomination in 2020 is fueling Democratic hopes and could significantly improve the party’s prospects of regaining control of the Senate.
Even though Donald Trump won Kansas easily in 2016, and Democrats haven’t won a Senate race in Kansas since 1932, Republicans are at risk of losing a Senate seat in the Sunflower State. Democrats have a blueprint for victory, and it involves Kobach winning the nomination because they defeated him in the 2018 race for governor.
Some Republicans are waiting for U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to leave his post in the Trump Administration, return to Kansas, and save the party from potential disaster, even though he continues to publicly deny interest. Without Pompeo, the GOP primary is likely to be expensive and competitive and the general election could be a sinkhole.
The filing deadline isn’t until June 1, but Republicans are obviously hoping Pompeo makes a decision before then. His potential candidacy hanging over the race is limiting the fundraising ability of candidates currently in the race.
Even if Democrats fall short once again, population and demographic changes in suburban Johnson County could be slowly making Kansas more competitive than previously imaginable.
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