538: Which Senators Are Likely To Vote For Trump's Removal?

[Quixote1818]

On Tuesday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats announced two articles of impeachment against President Trump: abuse of power and obstruction of Congress. Soon, the U.S. House will almost certainly vote to pass those two articles. And then things move to the U.S. Senate, where things seem just as inevitable: The GOP-led Senate will block Trump’s removal.

But it’s worth explaining exactly why we think the Senate won’t vote to remove Trump. So let’s break down the vote among all 100 senators — we expect a mostly party-line vote, but there are actually a number of different incentives at work beneath the surface. (Remember that a two-thirds majority — at least 67 votes — is needed to remove Trump.)

Let’s start with the Democrats.

Almost certain to vote for removal: 44 Democrats

Much more: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/which-senators-are-likely-to-vote-for-trumps-removal/

[Tiggeroshii]

1. UNLESS IT IS A SECRET VOTE

Unless we know that is happening, they should not send it to the Senate.

[lame54]

2. No excuse for any dem...

Who doesn't vote to burn him

A once in a lifetime opportunity

A bucket list item

A votegasm

[UTUSN]

3. If only.

Last edited Wed Dec 11, 2019, 11:10 PM - Edit history (5)

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[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

4. K&R