270 -- 60 days out

[underpants]

I used RealClearPolitics for no real reason - it was the first map I found. Most are near these numbers - The Washington Post has Romney at 182 for instance..
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.htm

So if we start with Romney's 191 (which seems reasonable) here are the "toss ups"


Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Iowa (6)
Michigan (16)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)
TOTAL --- 126

Romney has to win 79 of the 126
Michigan apparently is out which leaves 110

Romney has to win Florida without it he can only stand to lose 1 vote in NH (which splits the vote) and still win.

You can play with the numbers but basically he has to win everything that is a "toss up"

Nate Silver has Romney's chance of winning the "toss ups" as:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/

Colorado (9) 28%
Florida (29) 36%
Iowa (6) 27%
Michigan (16) -- no longer listed as a competitive state by Silver but he shows that Romney has a 5% chance of winning
Nevada (6) 17%
New Hampshire (4) 17%
North Carolina (15) 60%
Ohio (18) 27%
Virginia (13) 27%
Wisconsin (10) 18%

[Gidney N Cloyd]

1. Looks promising to me. Now let's get out there and give him a Democratic HOUSE!!

[underpants]

2. I am doing the morning and afternoon shifts knocking on doors here in Va

Greater Richmond. Tomorrow apparently we are hitting suburban Henrico north of the city.