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Quixote1818

(28,960 posts)
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:33 PM Mar 2020

I find it suspicious cases in Europe are exploding and not the US.

Isn't travel back and forth from China just as heavy or heavier from the US than Europe? I could be mistaken. However, the lack of testing may mean we are actually more inline with Europe where there are already 20,000 cases. We know Trump is trying to keep the numbers down as he admitted he was worried about a few hundred folks on a ship being added. It just seems odd that Europe is exploding with cases and in the US they are just trickling in unless there is a lot more travel between Europe and China than the US.

Thoughts? https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

82 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I find it suspicious cases in Europe are exploding and not the US. (Original Post) Quixote1818 Mar 2020 OP
There's hardly any testing here compared to other countries. And where we have more testing pnwmom Mar 2020 #1
+++ agree. We don't know what we don't know due to lack of testing. nt iluvtennis Mar 2020 #54
No testing, and trump is trying to keep it hidden. New outbreak in NY just reported though brush Mar 2020 #82
We're not testing. TDale313 Mar 2020 #2
+1 2naSalit Mar 2020 #10
Exactly TNNurse Mar 2020 #52
putting so many people bdamomma Mar 2020 #56
CDC said Fri they're not reporting infections any longer, going to leave it up to states (edit) uponit7771 Mar 2020 #3
by order of you-know-who... 2naSalit Mar 2020 #9
Not correct - source? Yonnie3 Mar 2020 #14
Atlantic link inside uponit7771 Mar 2020 #16
You said "The CDC said Friday they are not reporting infections any longer" Yonnie3 Mar 2020 #22
No that's the number of PUI they are not reporting uponit7771 Mar 2020 #24
Last week they were reporting how many tests have been made. They removed that line from the report. LiberalArkie Mar 2020 #28
They are throwing it to the states because states are testing and reporting quicker. jpljr77 Mar 2020 #23
Link and quote to CDC throwing it to the states? tia uponit7771 Mar 2020 #25
Uh, it's literally the quote right after the passage YOU referenced in the article YOU linked: jpljr77 Mar 2020 #27
If the Obama admin did similar with swine flu I'd agree with you but there's little to no evdidence uponit7771 Mar 2020 #32
The footnotes has been announced and they are not reporting ...all ... cases uponit7771 Mar 2020 #17
Heckuva job CDC. Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #47
US is showing over 700 cases Bev54 Mar 2020 #79
So they're really just getting under way with testing nt Jarqui Mar 2020 #81
I thought they said the number of tests. Not positive diagnosis. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #70
On the website they said PUI and they're counting on the states to give info which is assinine due t uponit7771 Mar 2020 #72
We're not testing appropriately here. Claritie Pixie Mar 2020 #4
+1 2naSalit Mar 2020 #8
The young who are carriers but present no illness are not being tested. LiberalArkie Mar 2020 #29
+++ agree. nt iluvtennis Mar 2020 #55
Once testing is rolled out I think you'll see that change. Mike 03 Mar 2020 #5
I hear the private sector is starting to make kits. Trump won't be able to stop that. nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #6
I think he intends to profit from it. Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #50
We need to find out which testing companies he owns fescuerescue Mar 2020 #67
When your power's out, what can you see in the dark? sinkingfeeling Mar 2020 #7
Exactly nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #26
You can still catch coronavirus with your head buried in the sand. PubliusEnigma Mar 2020 #11
Testing is occurring elsewhere UpInArms Mar 2020 #12
Watch the death rate and hospitalized rate edhopper Mar 2020 #13
no reporting. this happens in 3rd world countries, peacebuzzard Mar 2020 #15
I'm a bit curious about tank trucks spraying streets in other countries OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #21
those tank trucks were in China, the epicenter. peacebuzzard Mar 2020 #36
Not just China! S Korea Iran Italy OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #64
I did not know they were using them in Iran, Italy peacebuzzard Mar 2020 #66
+1, its worse here. CDC says its going to leave reporting to states so countries wont know uponit7771 Mar 2020 #38
much worse. CDC was gutted and now its near useless peacebuzzard Mar 2020 #39
+1, just found out about the 60k employees that have been axed from the CDC. This is on purpose and uponit7771 Mar 2020 #40
I'm a little curious about India. bluedigger Mar 2020 #18
Yes, and Russia. nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #20
Russia has "4" COVID-19 cases Recursion Mar 2020 #47
+1 uponit7771 Mar 2020 #41
Probably depends on access to testing IronLionZion Mar 2020 #45
About 3 million people in India die every year from waterborne illnesses alone Recursion Mar 2020 #49
Funny how no testing works OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #19
You will not find what you are not looking for. StTimofEdenRoc Mar 2020 #57
In about two weeks, Newest Reality Mar 2020 #30
Yes, Trump can't hide from this like Puerto Rico etc. etc. It's going to catch up to him Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #33
Our govt is looking the other way under instructions from their leader. lpbk2713 Mar 2020 #31
If you don't test, the numbers don't go up----don j. trump, stable genius spanone Mar 2020 #34
One possible factor is that Eropeans are much more fluid travelers. defacto7 Mar 2020 #35
It's fucking criminal Blecht Mar 2020 #37
Italy is testing hard JustAnotherGen Mar 2020 #42
Over the weekend BittyJenkins Mar 2020 #43
And someone in Santa Cruz County is positive, from moonscape Mar 2020 #53
1. The number of confirmed cases in the US is limited Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #44
Canada also bucolic_frolic Mar 2020 #46
Wait.....what? Traildogbob Mar 2020 #51
I don't trust the numbers at all. WinstonSmith4740 Mar 2020 #58
+1 SunSeeker Mar 2020 #59
We.Aren't.Testing. SunSeeker Mar 2020 #60
I think the numbers here are likely higher subana Mar 2020 #61
What is strange to me is the morbidity rates of S Korea compared to China & Italy, its seems to be yaesu Mar 2020 #62
South Korea is also doing really thorough testing, including drive-thru testing. SunSeeker Mar 2020 #65
In the 1918 flu there widely varying death rates. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #71
Cases in the US will be vastly undercounted Warpy Mar 2020 #63
Where there's testing, there are cases. (n/t) Iggo Mar 2020 #68
"What you don't know can't hurt my chances for re-election" struggle4progress Mar 2020 #69
Italy had their first case 11 days before us, check back in 2 weeks to see if the big wave hits here Baclava Mar 2020 #73
We. Aren't. Testing. It is exploding but nobody knows how much because we aren't testing. Rainbow Droid Mar 2020 #74
Our government is lying and we're Not being tested. sarcasmo Mar 2020 #75
WE ARE NOT TESTING!!! lapfog_1 Mar 2020 #76
We are two weeks behind Italy Pachamama Mar 2020 #77
I live in Orlando Coleman Mar 2020 #78
It's not surprising that Trump, who paid off a porn star, . . . LaMouffette Mar 2020 #80

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
1. There's hardly any testing here compared to other countries. And where we have more testing
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:35 PM
Mar 2020

like in WA, we find more cases.

bdamomma

(63,919 posts)
56. putting so many people
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:22 PM
Mar 2020

at risk, this POS needs to contract it. He's more concerned about his approval numbers. He's a risk to himself and too many others.

Yonnie3

(17,476 posts)
14. Not correct - source?
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:51 PM
Mar 2020

CDC updated their web page noon today: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

Total cases 423
plus 49 repatriated which they count separately.

It was around 150 Friday.

They do say this in footnotes:
† CDC is no longer reporting the number of persons under investigation (PUIs) that have been tested, as well as PUIs that have tested negative. Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not representative of all testing being done nationwide.

‡ As of March 8, 2020 1,707 patients had been tested at CDC. This does not include testing being done at state and local public health laboratories, which began this week.






uponit7771

(90,359 posts)
16. Atlantic link inside
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:56 PM
Mar 2020
But earlier this week, the agency announced that it would stop publishing negative results for the coronavirus, an extraordinary step that essentially keeps Americans from knowing how many people have been tested overall.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theatlantic.com/amp/article/607597/

Yonnie3

(17,476 posts)
22. You said "The CDC said Friday they are not reporting infections any longer"
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:10 PM
Mar 2020

What they are not reporting are the number of tests that are negative which is a whole different thing IMO.



jpljr77

(1,004 posts)
23. They are throwing it to the states because states are testing and reporting quicker.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:14 PM
Mar 2020

They aren't trying to hide anything.

Please stop making EVERYthing about the incompetent child in the White House. That's what he wants because he's a...well...child.

jpljr77

(1,004 posts)
27. Uh, it's literally the quote right after the passage YOU referenced in the article YOU linked:
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:19 PM
Mar 2020

“With more and more testing done at states, these numbers would not be representative of the testing being done nationally,” Nancy Messonnier, the chief CDC official for respiratory diseases, said at the time. “States are reporting results quickly, and in the event of a discrepancy between CDC and state case counts, the state case counts should always be considered more up to date.”

uponit7771

(90,359 posts)
32. If the Obama admin did similar with swine flu I'd agree with you but there's little to no evdidence
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:29 PM
Mar 2020

... that they did stop reporting cases via the CDC and put the reporting on state level.

They didn't and 55 million Americans were infected with swine, this is looking to be worse.

It is asinine on its face to have to go to 50+ different sites to add up numbers for CV, this is something the CDC should be doing.

This is hiding information, I've stopped giving the Trump admin the benefit of the doubt about anything positive.

Crunchy Frog

(26,623 posts)
47. Heckuva job CDC.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:11 PM
Mar 2020

They barely managed to test 1700 people, from the beginning of the outbreak until March 8th.

That's an impressive feat for a third world, shit hole country.

uponit7771

(90,359 posts)
72. On the website they said PUI and they're counting on the states to give info which is assinine due t
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 08:43 PM
Mar 2020

... to having to go to 50+ different places for information in the US

Claritie Pixie

(2,199 posts)
4. We're not testing appropriately here.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:37 PM
Mar 2020

1. Very limited # of test kits available from the CDC.
2. CDC determines who can be tested. Criteria for testing requires fever.

I think a lot more people have it here, we just don't know.

2naSalit

(86,767 posts)
8. +1
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:44 PM
Mar 2020

What we don't know can kill us but what really matters is that fuckwad45's ego is constantly stroked.

LiberalArkie

(15,728 posts)
29. The young who are carriers but present no illness are not being tested.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:21 PM
Mar 2020

Remember you can have it and be spreading it for up to 2 weeks (or more) before you show any symptoms.

Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
5. Once testing is rolled out I think you'll see that change.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:38 PM
Mar 2020

In Pima County (where Tucson is) we have symptomatic people begging to be tested being turned away because of a lack of testing kits and confusion over the criteria for being tested.

That is going to change this week, supposedly.

edhopper

(33,606 posts)
13. Watch the death rate and hospitalized rate
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:49 PM
Mar 2020

compare it to Europe for a real look at the infection numbers.

peacebuzzard

(5,181 posts)
15. no reporting. this happens in 3rd world countries,
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 01:52 PM
Mar 2020

where a reporting system is usually monitored and administered by a national health care system. In 3rd world countries, the health care systems suffer from lack of infrastructure, funds, personnel.
In the U.S. case: a couple of posts on here yesterday and interviews with front line personnel indicate there is a shortage of kits, a fumble between the GP and ER protocol, and I believe herein lies the biggest problem. There is no direction or chain of action for anyone experiencing symptoms.

Plenty of denials circulating at this point.

OhNo-Really

(3,985 posts)
21. I'm a bit curious about tank trucks spraying streets in other countries
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:09 PM
Mar 2020

And huge teams of hazmat clad ppl with hand pump sprayers

What do they know that we don’t know?

Our pics of ppl in contact with patients show them with no PPE suits and holding up sheets

😳🤯😳🤯😳🤯😳🤯

peacebuzzard

(5,181 posts)
36. those tank trucks were in China, the epicenter.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:13 PM
Mar 2020

their cases are now on the decline.
There was a post on DU by someone who had family there and they maintained contact via the internet, but he was concerned the internet in China was also censored since many posts and chats were removed.
Chinese citizens are following directions and imposed martial law.

will not happen here. we hold up sheets and use hand sanitizer.
I am looking for some now, all stores are out in my area.
Nowhere to be found, but it's just a last-ditch effort and probably a weak one.

peacebuzzard

(5,181 posts)
66. I did not know they were using them in Iran, Italy
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 08:11 PM
Mar 2020

had a tough week. been sporadic with the current events. Thanks for letting me know

uponit7771

(90,359 posts)
38. +1, its worse here. CDC says its going to leave reporting to states so countries wont know
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:19 PM
Mar 2020

... the data for the US unless they tracked 50+ different sources for CV data

peacebuzzard

(5,181 posts)
39. much worse. CDC was gutted and now its near useless
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:25 PM
Mar 2020

thanks to the WH lardbutt.

My company is praising CDC and applauding its response.
They want workers to show up.

It is truly appalling not to have adequate support and plans in place.

uponit7771

(90,359 posts)
40. +1, just found out about the 60k employees that have been axed from the CDC. This is on purpose and
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:28 PM
Mar 2020

... no doubt meant to be able to call martial law.

There's no giving Putin's Whore the benefit of the doubt on this one.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
49. About 3 million people in India die every year from waterborne illnesses alone
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:12 PM
Mar 2020

COVID might not even show up as more than noise there

Newest Reality

(12,712 posts)
30. In about two weeks,
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:24 PM
Mar 2020

In about two weeks, the outbreak here will be an unavoidable, prevalent fact, regardless of attempts to downplay it or testing availability because the hospitals will be showing the strain at that point. We are just getting started here.

I give it two weeks because that is about the maximum, (there are variables) time it takes to incubate. Meanwhile, people are spreading it prior to succumbing to the symptoms.

Then, in another two weeks, another obvious explosion of cases. From there on in, it is in full bloom here.

From what I have read, (just calculations based on past outbreaks) it won't peak until late April to mid-May. At that point, we may have anywhere from one to three-billion cases globally. That is subject to change depending on many variables.

Quixote1818

(28,960 posts)
33. Yes, Trump can't hide from this like Puerto Rico etc. etc. It's going to catch up to him
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:39 PM
Mar 2020

and then he will have to answer for the cover up. He will likely still not be held accountable by his idiot followers but enough people on the fence will not vote for him especially with the economy going into recession.

lpbk2713

(42,766 posts)
31. Our govt is looking the other way under instructions from their leader.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 02:28 PM
Mar 2020


If they don't see it they don't have to report it.

defacto7

(13,485 posts)
35. One possible factor is that Eropeans are much more fluid travelers.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:12 PM
Mar 2020

They go from one country to another for days off (which are a lot) just for a break. The other is they are closer together and more social than Americans. We're spread out much more and drive cars. They mostly take trains.

Blecht

(3,803 posts)
37. It's fucking criminal
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:14 PM
Mar 2020

I'd rather be in Korea than here -- the grownups there are actually doing something.

BittyJenkins

(411 posts)
43. Over the weekend
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:52 PM
Mar 2020

10 more cases were reported in the Bay Area...Santa Clara County and Contra Costa County.
There are no tests readily available so the count is probably higher.

moonscape

(4,673 posts)
53. And someone in Santa Cruz County is positive, from
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:18 PM
Mar 2020

being on that cruise in mid-February.

Today a death was reported in Santa Clara - woman in her 60's and it was community spread apparently.

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
44. 1. The number of confirmed cases in the US is limited
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 03:55 PM
Mar 2020

by the number of tests we have done.

2. It is. The last few days we've gone up by about 30% a day. The growth rate at the peak in China was an increase of about 27% each day.

Traildogbob

(8,791 posts)
51. Wait.....what?
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:14 PM
Mar 2020

Last I heard we had 15 and would be zero in a few days. Can't count the ship, not our faught. Stop with the fake news of over 500 cases now. It's killing all those poor white tRumpers that live off of the stock market numbers. Damn libruls. 😡🐘🇷🇺 = 🌍🔥🌑

WinstonSmith4740

(3,056 posts)
58. I don't trust the numbers at all.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:26 PM
Mar 2020

I don't trust our government officials anymore than I trust the Chinese officials to tell the truth, where supposedly the cases are reducing. I'll bet the European model is much closer to what's actually happening.

subana

(586 posts)
61. I think the numbers here are likely higher
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:31 PM
Mar 2020

we don't know the true numbers due to so little testing has been done. And of course, comrade donnie doesn't want the numbers to be higher so he is going to discourage anything that makes him look bad!

Thanks for the webpage, it looks like good data

yaesu

(8,020 posts)
62. What is strange to me is the morbidity rates of S Korea compared to China & Italy, its seems to be
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:37 PM
Mar 2020

under 1%in SK while tracking around 2-3% elsewhere. One main reason I think is because SK has an overall younger population compared to Italy which is in second place as far as its population being older, Japan has the oldest population.

SunSeeker

(51,662 posts)
65. South Korea is also doing really thorough testing, including drive-thru testing.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 06:13 PM
Mar 2020

The more you test, the more cases you find. If you only test people who are symptomatic you'll end up with a higher death rate. We're not even testing everyone who is symptomatic. The CDC is currently requiring that you be able to name someone who has tested positive who you have had contact with before they'll give you a test.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
71. In the 1918 flu there widely varying death rates.
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 08:26 PM
Mar 2020

It is thought different regions were hit with different variants of the virus and some were more deadly than others.

Warpy

(111,332 posts)
63. Cases in the US will be vastly undercounted
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 04:37 PM
Mar 2020

because people don't have the money to seek treatment and can't afford a two week quarantine if they do test positive. Epidemiological studies here will be shite because public health has stupidly been left out of national security considerations.

Cases will explode and we will never know it.

Dumdum's response has been to cut down on the number of tests available to state public health departments. He thinks if he lies about it, it will just go away.

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
73. Italy had their first case 11 days before us, check back in 2 weeks to see if the big wave hits here
Mon Mar 9, 2020, 11:20 PM
Mar 2020

lapfog_1

(29,219 posts)
76. WE ARE NOT TESTING!!!
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 12:58 PM
Mar 2020

Sorry to shout... but this is obvious. There can't be confirmed cases if you don't TEST for it.

They are all testing using the WHO test... which we refused to use.

OF course we are exploding with the outbreak. We just don't know how bad.

Coleman

(854 posts)
78. I live in Orlando
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 01:13 PM
Mar 2020

The #1 foreign tourist destination in the US. We have Disney World (with tons of Star Wars rides), Universal (with Harry Potter), Seaworld, Lego Land, Gator World (joke), water parks out the rear... This place should be a coronavirus powder keg, but not one.

LaMouffette

(2,039 posts)
80. It's not surprising that Trump, who paid off a porn star, . . .
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 01:18 PM
Mar 2020

a Playboy model, and God knows who else, to keep quiet about his sexual dalliances, would prefer to squash the true number of corona virus infections in the United States. The true number of those afflicted would make Trump look bad. Trump hates the truth like a vampire hates holy water. That's why he hates the free press and why, if it were up to him, he would have the power to suppress all unflattering news reports, just like they do in China, Russia, and North Korea.

For a truly scary example of the kind of truth-suppressing we could be in for if Trump is reelected, check out this article published in 2011 on the website China Digital Times. It gives examples of censorship instructions sent down from the highest levels of Chinese government to squash any reports that might cast the Chinese government in an unflattering light.

[link:https://chinadigitaltimes.net/2011/06/directives-from-the-ministry-of-truth-may-1-31-2011/|

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