General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFor those of you who think testing all counties is a brainless idea.
Harvard study suggests one total lockdown is not the right approach. This supports Fauci's and Birz's call for county wide testing.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/harvard-researchers-one-long-lockdown-is-not-the-right-approach
uponit7771
(90,347 posts)... Germany all had as much unrestricted testing as possible and don't lead the world in cases like we do.
People aren't paying attention
Ferrets are Cool
(21,107 posts)Shermann
(7,423 posts)...they'll have the inexpensive test strips all rearing to go.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,666 posts)it's the only rational thing to do to gather the proper data to make sane decisions.
Without mass testing, no decision will be well-informed.
That includes antibody testing when that comes fully on line.
Ms. Toad
(34,074 posts)Obviously, testing (including presumed negative individuals) is the right idea. We need to know the reality of this virus. But we don't even have the capacity to test those who have symptoms and who almost certainly have COVID 19. We are treating them as if they have COVID 19 because we can't test them to determine if they actually do.
What is suggested in the paper is not an intermitten release before we have universal testing - but a process for subsequent waves in which thorough testing is used to govern just-in-time new shut downs of geographic areas in which the need for hospitalization will be exceeded if a lock-down is not imposed.
A refined intermitten lockdown (being proposed AFTER the large lockdown, not instead of it) is only possible if (1) universal testing is possible, (2) universal testing is implemented - and not hampered by head-in-the-sand (we only need to test those with symptoms); lack of insurance; refusal to comply with even the bare minimum of taking your temperature before you enter a nursing home (a postal worker in my community; and (3) very diligent test-based monitoring - and instant compliance with local lock-down orders (because delaying them would mean overshooting the hospital capacity), (4) the lockdown is by logical geographic region (in Ohio, for example - Cuyahoga-Stark-Summit would need to be treated as one unit Cuyahoga residents mostly stick in Cuyahoga; Summit travels north to Cuyahoga and south to Stark; Stark mostly stays in Stark, with some travel to Summit), and (5) we know enough about the disease to create effective models (we are nowhere near that yet).