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malaise

(269,005 posts)
Tue Jun 2, 2020, 10:01 AM Jun 2020

DUers in Mexico, Texas and Louisiana, please pay attention to Now Tropical Storm Cristobal (updated)

Last edited Tue Jun 2, 2020, 04:09 PM - Edit history (1)

https:?021144





SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 92.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 3 mph (5 km/h). The
depression is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward or
southward this afternoon and tonight, and meander over the southern
Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday. On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the
southern Bay of Campeche tonight through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next couple of
days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled
to investigate the system later this morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


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DUers in Mexico, Texas and Louisiana, please pay attention to Now Tropical Storm Cristobal (updated) (Original Post) malaise Jun 2020 OP
Yeah. We're right in the possible path. rownesheck Jun 2020 #1
Hindsight is 2020 now has new meaning malaise Jun 2020 #2
Stephen Colbert said Leith Jun 2020 #8
We are paying attention to it Gothmog Jun 2020 #3
Thanks Malaise, duforsure Jun 2020 #4
You're welcome - here's the Euro Model malaise Jun 2020 #5
Thanks, Malaise! LeftInTX Jun 2020 #6
Now Tropical Storm Cristobal malaise Jun 2020 #7

rownesheck

(2,343 posts)
1. Yeah. We're right in the possible path.
Tue Jun 2, 2020, 10:46 AM
Jun 2020

I texted my wife a screenshot of the possible trajectory and she responded with "2020 is like a horror funhouse ride."

2016 used to be my vote for worst year ever. Then 2020 said "hold my beer."

LeftInTX

(25,343 posts)
6. Thanks, Malaise!
Tue Jun 2, 2020, 12:08 PM
Jun 2020

Currently there is a high pressure over Florida (The infamous Bermuda high is over Florida). This is steering it somewhat more westward than usual for June 2nd.

The high over Florida could move and the eastern gulf coast could be affected.

If this pressure drops below 999 mb, this is where it goes:



At the current pressure of 1003 mb, the steering is towards Mexico:



The steering is based on real time and models are based on predicted changes in the atmosphere.

Thought you might enjoy this!!

Here is this site:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm1&zoom=&time=



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