General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumsmalaise
(268,969 posts)in less than four years - more needs to be made of this fact.
Great toon
progree
(10,904 posts)Link to tweet
Another graph from New York Times, thanks to BumRushDaShow
from one of their "live" columns - https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/07/30/business/stock-market-today-coronavirus)
The 9.5% drop from beginning to end of Q2 corresponds to the widely quoted 32.9% annual rate.
progree
(10,904 posts)They used to say that "earnings drive the market". Not anymore apparently. Now its unlimited borrowing by corporations and unlimited money creation and government spending at deficit-tripling levels, along with FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) that drives the market:
Q1 S&P 500 Earnings per share:
2017 Q1: 27.46,
2018 Q1: 33.02,
2019 Q1: 35.02,
2020 Q1: 11.88 😲 👀
https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_eps
We don't have the full Q2 earnings yet. But likely to be a lot worse, given that Q1 GDP declined by 5%, and Q2 GDP declined by 32.9% (both on an annualized rate basis. The actual GDP drops were Q1: 1.3%, Q2: 9.5%). So it would be pretty much impossible for Q2 earnings to be anything but a lot worse than Q1 earnings.
KS Toronado
(17,220 posts)Good morning President Biden!
gademocrat7
(10,656 posts)iluvtennis
(19,852 posts)AlexSFCA
(6,137 posts)the most meaningful number.