General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDr. Harvey Risch professor of Epidemiology from Yale School of Public Health is on CNN saying that
hydroxychloroquine works, but the reason those randomized studies didn't demonstrate that is because they were not done on the right people
dem4decades
(11,288 posts)greymattermom
(5,754 posts)randomized. And he's from Yale?
yardwork
(61,604 posts)still_one
(92,190 posts)been used on the most critically ill, patients, but those in the early course of the disease.
Problem is that Risch doesn't have a double blind study to justify his ascertain, and as far as I am aware is not in the process of performing one
Another disturbing thing I see about Risch in the interview is he seems to diminish the merit of double blind studies
As an aside, there was an anecdotal observation from the Henry Ford Hospital in Michigan which showed improvement with those on hydroxychloroquine, but the issue with that was those patients were also given glucocorticoid steroids, which have been shown to improve outcomes, and it also wasn't a randomized trial.
In the randomized studies I am aware of hydroxychloroquine did not show any difference in outcomes, while remdesivir, dexamethasone, and plasma from people who have recovered from the virus did
If Risch wants to push this, then he should setup a double blind study to determine efficacy
yardwork
(61,604 posts)Also, he's a cancer researcher. Doesn't seem to know much about infectious disease.
still_one
(92,190 posts)misleading without indicating what you pointed out, and epidemiologist in cancer research, not infections
LisaL
(44,973 posts)on seriously ill patients and less seriously ill patients. No benefit found for either.
Henry Ford study wasn't actually a clinical trial. So not a good way to do science.
still_one
(92,190 posts)"Another hope for hydroxychloroquine, that it might prevent people exposed to the virus from getting sick, also faded last week when David Boulware of the University of Minnesota, Twin Cities, and colleagues published the results of the largest study to date of this strategy, called postexposure prophylaxis (PEP). The researchers sent either hydroxychloroquine or a placebo by mail to 821 people who had been in close contact with a COVID-19 patient for more than 10 minutes without proper protection. They reported in The New England Journal of Medicine that 12% of the people who took the drug went on to develop COVID-19 symptoms, versus 14% in a placebo group, a difference that was not statistically significant."
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/06/three-big-studies-dim-hopes-hydroxychloroquine-can-treat-or-prevent-covid-19
Azathoth
(4,608 posts)The problem with this kind of research is that there are so many variables, and the sample size is never quite big enough or well-controlled enough, that you will always have wiggle room to dismiss results if they don't fit what you expect to happen.
True belief is also why sincere HCQ acolytes aren't big on the concept of double-blind studies in the first place: since they "know" the drug works to begin with, it's unethical for them to even have a control group.
NickB79
(19,236 posts)Not how the scientific method operates
JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,339 posts)Obviously, they produce geniuses. And others.
could hardly listen to the a-hole. Yale? Why don't I believe it?
Squinch
(50,949 posts)have all the same information we do, and they SHOULD know it increases the chances of death.
SO let them take it if they want to. It will hasten their deaths and reduce the cost to the system of keeping them alive all those extra weeks.
Evergreen Emerald
(13,069 posts)Money is the reason snake oil salesmen are still discussing this.
dawg day
(7,947 posts)So he's got to peddle it fast!
Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)But there are safer and better drugs for that.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)-Laelth
still_one
(92,190 posts)LisaL
(44,973 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)for a long time. I may eventually be put on it chronically for autoimmune rheumatoid arthritis; but given its potentially extremely serious side effects, it's not used casually or before need outweighs the risks.
Given those initial limited studies, though, it's always been reasonable to suspect temporary use might help some patients, but even for them it'd be potentially risky and no panacea. Not to say it shouldn't be used on them if it was the best course for them, though.
still_one
(92,190 posts)real problem for a drug that in most studies have demonstrated no difference in outcomes for those being treated for SARS Cov2
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)efficacious -- production could have been ramped up. (I think it was anyway.)
Shortages sometimes occur of any drug for which additional need develops. We couldn't claim people dying from Covid didn't need it as much or more than someone who could be shifted to another immunomodulator or a steroid for a while.
And what a shame that wasn't the situation. If it was a good drug that could have kept thousands of people alive, it would have become a widespread treatment. It was certainly not suppressed for political reasons. How many doses did our government purchase?
dawg day
(7,947 posts)Making HCQ, supposedly. What was THAT about? With all the pharma companies we have, why did trump single out a camera company to develop drugs?
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)That's a very good and necessary thing because we're currently dangerously dependent on other nations for many ingredients.
On a planet of over 7 billion people, we're only 330 million and our ability to outcompete other nations for whatever we want is not what it used to be.
This is basic national security; and since it's something that should be done, albeit late, of course it wasn't Trump's idea. I doubt it'd ever crossed his mind that drugs are made of...different stuff.
dawg day
(7,947 posts)>Traders bid up Kodak's shares from a closing price of $2.10 on Friday, July 24, to as high as $60 on Wednesday.>
DjCourtney
(1 post)Does anyone have the Clip or know of a place to find it? I'm really interested in seeing it.
Demsrule86
(68,561 posts)nuts.
niyad
(113,300 posts)PatSeg
(47,424 posts)Response to DjCourtney (Reply #16)
greyl This message was self-deleted by its author.
durablend
(7,460 posts)"Even leftist CNN is coming around to agreeing with me!"
gratuitous
(82,849 posts)Keep nontroversies alive! Next up, will the virus magically disappear now that the warm weather is here? Experts disagree.
still_one
(92,190 posts)saying
gratuitous
(82,849 posts)The doctor now gets to talk about what an expert he is, why, he was interviewed by CNN, so, credibility! I know it would never happen in a million, billion years, but what if someone carefully edits the doctor's appearance and puts up video that makes him look far more authoritative than he was? I mean, sure, everyone would see through it immediately, and nobody would use the doctored video for their own confirmation bias, but that minuscule possibility should be enough for CNN not to give air time to yet another crank. I should think.
still_one
(92,190 posts)Yale, CNN would not be doing their job if they didn't report on it.
Yale has come out addressing this because of what Risch is pushing, and it runs counter to what the FDA and CDC have said
https://publichealth.yale.edu/news-article/26290/
It also might inform people which physicians to avoid
marble falls
(57,081 posts)still_one
(92,190 posts)GoCubsGo
(32,083 posts)This guy is on the editorial board of the journal in which he published this nonsense. Just sayin'.
Happy Hoosier
(7,306 posts)I would seem that if he thinks existing studies are not evaluating the correct population, then he should do his own study. It's not on the original study authors to conduct another study. Their studies show exactly what they say they do.
To falsify their claims, it's on HIM to provide data, not them.
still_one
(92,190 posts)fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)Happy Hoosier
(7,306 posts)She does research all the time. A friend is a biology professor.... he does studies all the time. Professors do research and studies.... all the time!
ismnotwasm
(41,977 posts)God I hate this bullshit
Response to still_one (Original post)
geralmar This message was self-deleted by its author.