Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

uponit7771

(90,336 posts) Thu Sep 20, 2012, 09:20 PM Sep 2012

0

Is likely voter polling more accurate than registered voter polling?

Is likely voter polling more accurate than registered voter polling?

I keep seeing LV and RV polls, historically which one has been more accurate?

Thx in advance for any input

2 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Is likely voter polling more accurate than registered voter polling? (Original Post) uponit7771 Sep 2012 OP

Yes. Likely voters are people that have a sustained voting record. bluestate10 Sep 2012 #1

well MariaM83 Sep 2012 #2

bluestate10

(10,942 posts)

1. Yes. Likely voters are people that have a sustained voting record.

Reply to uponit7771 (Original post)

Thu Sep 20, 2012, 10:11 PM

Sep 2012

Polls of LV are more accurate because of their history of getting to voting booths rain, snow or shine.

MariaM83

(233 posts)

2. well

Reply to uponit7771 (Original post)

Thu Sep 20, 2012, 10:22 PM

Sep 2012

here's what Pew Research Center says
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/2340/likely-voters-registered-poll-samples

and here's what Nate Silver says
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/19/does-romney-have-an-edge-from-likely-voter-polls/

Reply to this discussion

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Is likely voter polling m...