Infectious Disease Expert Predicts When U.S. Coronavirus Cases Will Again Explode

[Nevilledog]

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/michael-osterholm-coronavirus-prediction-september_n_5f323fd3c5b64cc99fdd8601


Infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm on Monday contradicted President Donald Trump’s fanciful claim that the U.S. will soon be in “very good shape” with the coronavirus pandemic, instead predicting “an explosion” in new cases starting next month.

Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, told CNN’s Don Lemon that the U.S. is “just really beginning to get to the really large part of the problem” with an average of 45,000 to 50,000 new confirmed cases of the virus per day.

“When school starts both at the high school level and in college and universities, we think we’re going to see an explosion of cases in September that will far surpass what we saw after Memorial Day,” Osterholm said. “And that this is just going to continue increasing, getting higher and higher, in terms of numbers.”

Osterholm elaborated in an op-ed he wrote with Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, that was published in The New York Times on Friday. The column argued the U.S. needs another lockdown to slow the spread of the virus.

*snip*

[beachbumbob]

1. don't have to be an expect to predict shit hits the fan in 2-4 weeks all across America

[Wounded Bear]

2. Well, we just had a 200k strong super-spreader event in South Dakota this week...

Returning to at least the lower 48 states.

[Newest Reality]

3. Exponential growth is coming without any oversight and direction on this. This will be very bad.

[berni_mccoy]

5. We already have exponential growth.

[Wellstone ruled]

7. Dr. Mike predicted

we would see a massive out break by October. Exponentially Doubling effect is just know starting. And Covid is just now effecting the Rural Populations.

[berni_mccoy]

8. We will only be able to see it in the Death Rate

Because our testing capacity is near maximum now.

[Wellstone ruled]

10. As per our

Daughter who works with Challenged and Dependent Adults. She says the untold reason the Positivity Numbers are not being truly talked about is,one of the testing Regimes has issues with results. And other testing Regimes are lacking Test Reagents which are mostly Imported.

This is what happens after years of Health Care Privatization. Many of her fellow Health Care acquaintances are in total frustration with the testing and the lack there of.

[uponit7771]

4. "again" ... Florida and Texas have stopped testing there's no "again" its still exploding now ...

... I think they mean a furtherance of carnage

[Mike 03]

6. Same in Arizona.

The numbers don't reflect what a disaster we have unfolding.

[uponit7771]

11. +1, I'm wonder if hospitalizations are reflecting testing also

[global1]

9. We're Already Seeing Businesses That Re-Opened Prematurely - Contemplating.....

Last edited Wed Aug 12, 2020, 05:42 PM - Edit history (1)

shutting down again due to lack of customers/traffic.

They are realizing that it is cost prohibited to keep a business open without a sufficient amount of customers. Not only do they have to maintain a staff of employees to be ready to serve potential customers but - restaurants in particular - are finding out that they have a hard time dealing with having to predict how much food they need to have on hand and many are wasting food as it goes bad.

This is not to mention the additional costs incurred by having to maintain a sanitized environment at all times; having to contend with social distancing guidelines and limitations of the percentage of customers that they can serve and curfews imposed in some States.

As businesses come to the realization that they are not making money by re-opening - many will reach the decision that they will shut down again. That would also have an impact again on the unemployment numbers.

We'll also see and experience similar things happening in the re-opening of the schools. As students return to their schools - we should anticipate a rise in new Covid positive cases and additional costs in keeping schools sanitized. Those school districts will have to evaluate their decisions for re-opening and we should anticipate a number of school districts closing down again and going to a virtual platform.

This is what we'll continue to face until there is a National Plan to attack this virus. My opinion is that we have to come to the realization that this country will have to shut down again in order to finally realize some control over this virus.

[uponit7771]

12. +1, Disney will reduce hours due to lack of traffic. Also, it took 2 years to get to 10% unemploymen

... Trump did it in 3 weeks so who in the world is going to these places during a major job recession.