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October Surprise - Who Thinks It's a Vaccine??? (Original Post) qwlauren35 Aug 2020 OP
Of course he will say it SoonerPride Aug 2020 #1
He's fucking gas lighter, of course he'll say it. If it kills people he doesn't care as long dem4decades Aug 2020 #2
those people probably wanted to die or rurallib Aug 2020 #38
He and his followers will blame deaths on "elite" doctors and researchers csziggy Aug 2020 #52
We need to stress how badly he's likely to fuck up the next crisis. Walleye Aug 2020 #3
The boy who cried Hoax has no credibility left malaise Aug 2020 #4
No credibility whatsoever.....voters won't see it as a game changer at all Thekaspervote Aug 2020 #9
It will be as much change as his illegal effin' malaise Aug 2020 #10
No, that won't be it. Let's not forget that his base is largely anti-vaccination. Initech Aug 2020 #5
Yeah but they'll spread the word underpants Aug 2020 #8
In October Trump could release a vaccine. On Nov 4 folks could start dropping dead from it, but ... Towlie Aug 2020 #6
If I was Pence I'd be watching my back... hunter Aug 2020 #7
No don't think this is October surprise if there is one. FloridaBlues Aug 2020 #11
Yup Sherman A1 Aug 2020 #15
If it's a vaccine, it will be the one that Russia Sogo Aug 2020 #12
The October Surprise , trump ia a racist pos ! stonecutter357 Aug 2020 #13
Doctored tapes no one will care about and phony vaccine news soothsayer Aug 2020 #14
That would not be an October surprise, nor would it be a game changer as far as the election is still_one Aug 2020 #16
We don't have any vaccines that underwent and finished phase 3 in the US. LisaL Aug 2020 #20
There are vaccines recruiting for phase 3 is going on now for Moderna still_one Aug 2020 #23
I know Moderna is recruiting. LisaL Aug 2020 #25
Not if they are going to stick to their 30000 participants in phase 3 still_one Aug 2020 #26
Announcing a vaccine ahead of the election could cost him votes jmowreader Aug 2020 #17
You are assuming that those voters care about consistency TheRealNorth Aug 2020 #41
He might announce it, and FDA might even approve it under pressure. LisaL Aug 2020 #18
I don't know -- What will be the October Surprise from the Democrats? . . . Journeyman Aug 2020 #19
How would anti-vaxxers react? Sneederbunk Aug 2020 #21
FDA just announced they would bypass/shorten phase 3 testing process Fiendish Thingy Aug 2020 #22
Yup, it's gonna happen. Native Aug 2020 #36
Even if... consider_this Aug 2020 #24
SUCH a game changer? Boy, that's sure effusive. tinrobot Aug 2020 #27
I hope Biden/DNC/Lincoln Project have an ad ready that says exactly that... nt Blasphemer Aug 2020 #35
Will anyone believe him? Rice4VP Aug 2020 #28
I already believe the surprise is only if he doesn't announce the vaccine andym Aug 2020 #29
No - I just had a long conversation with a friend who works for Merck Freddie Aug 2020 #30
Thanks for that! smirkymonkey Aug 2020 #37
I will trust my family doc on this Freddie Aug 2020 #39
Pretty sure Federal law protects vaccine companies from vaccine-related lawsuits TheRealNorth Aug 2020 #42
That is heartening. qwlauren35 Aug 2020 #45
🦠 roamer65 Aug 2020 #31
I think it's the Durham report budkin Aug 2020 #32
Yup, it's this. The report will fabricate a story that Obama and Biden are criminals Arazi Aug 2020 #53
A fake vaccine, more likely. louis-t Aug 2020 #33
Oh no!11 BannonsLiver Aug 2020 #34
No Sunsky Aug 2020 #40
As I predicted at least 2 months ago. Not properly tested, rushed to production, sold like snake-oil Hekate Aug 2020 #43
I don't think there's going to be a workable October Surprise jmowreader Aug 2020 #44
I would love for there to be a safe vaccine.... Dorian Gray Aug 2020 #46
I hope it's a vaccine. That or universal health care. Iggo Aug 2020 #47
I hope all the trials have spectacular results Steelrolled Aug 2020 #48
Only a fool would belive there is a vaccine for covid-19 in October KWR65 Aug 2020 #49
There is nothing BGBD Aug 2020 #50
Oleandrin or ... BlueWavePsych Aug 2020 #51

SoonerPride

(12,286 posts)
1. Of course he will say it
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:23 PM
Aug 2020

It won’t be delivered regardless until 2021

It isn’t physically possible

And even so it won’t change the game because he is still responsible for 200,000 dead and 40,000,000 unemployed

dem4decades

(11,308 posts)
2. He's fucking gas lighter, of course he'll say it. If it kills people he doesn't care as long
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:28 PM
Aug 2020

as it serves his purpose.

csziggy

(34,139 posts)
52. He and his followers will blame deaths on "elite" doctors and researchers
Mon Aug 31, 2020, 12:37 PM
Aug 2020

After all, he takes no responsibility.

Walleye

(31,101 posts)
3. We need to stress how badly he's likely to fuck up the next crisis.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:34 PM
Aug 2020

There will be more in the next few years. He could do worse than he’s done already.

malaise

(269,232 posts)
4. The boy who cried Hoax has no credibility left
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:39 PM
Aug 2020

It will be no surprise because we knew he'd make it up. If he didn't care who died when they drank bleach, Lysol or Dettol or if they took the drugs that either killed or had no benefits for Covid-19, why would anyone believe his vaccine bullshit,

Truth be told the greatest security threat to the USA is Don the fucking Con - he will kill you and then claim to have prevented 2,000,000 more from dying. Then he'll look you in the eye and tell you he did a great job.

Why would anyone take his bullshit vaccine. This monster should be locked up urgently.

malaise

(269,232 posts)
10. It will be as much change as his illegal effin'
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:50 PM
Aug 2020

festival of lies Covidention. He really believes people will buy any bullshit he spews. He has no idea how many people really and truly detest him.

Initech

(100,112 posts)
5. No, that won't be it. Let's not forget that his base is largely anti-vaccination.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:42 PM
Aug 2020

And pro-conspiracy theory. After all they came up with that inane "Plandemic" video that's been circulating around Facebook and YouTube. They won't buy into that.

Towlie

(5,328 posts)
6. In October Trump could release a vaccine. On Nov 4 folks could start dropping dead from it, but ...
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:43 PM
Aug 2020

... by then there would be no way to overturn Trump's reelection.

FloridaBlues

(4,009 posts)
11. No don't think this is October surprise if there is one.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:53 PM
Aug 2020

It will be some made up bull about Biden or the campaign.

Sogo

(5,006 posts)
12. If it's a vaccine, it will be the one that Russia
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:59 PM
Aug 2020

supposedly has developed.

Oh, yeah....Let me be the first in line.....NOT!!



soothsayer

(38,601 posts)
14. Doctored tapes no one will care about and phony vaccine news
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:04 PM
Aug 2020

Idk, he’s kind of that magician who’s still carrying on even though everyone knows how his tricks work

still_one

(92,475 posts)
16. That would not be an October surprise, nor would it be a game changer as far as the election is
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:11 PM
Aug 2020

concerned

Assuming they have a vaccine ready, and it has completed phase 3, and has been shown to be effective and safe, and been peer review, it is going to take time to distribute it, and all the logistics associated with that

A good number of the vaccines require a second dose 30 days later. Even if things went perfectly, I don’t see the public getting access to it before the first quarter of next year

Vaccine or no vaccine, trump’s handling of the pandemic was and is a disaster. The games they are playing with the stimulus package is a disgrace

He doesn’t own the vaccine, he owns the 180000 people who have died, and have permanent damage, and not responding in a timely manner to to the stimulus

A vaccine doesn’t mean everything is fine. We will be lucky if it is 50% effective, like the influenza vaccine, and because of that if precautions still are not taken seriously, because people become more complacent because of false messaging, we could very well end up in an even worse situation

However, if there is an effective treatment and vaccine, that would be a game changer as far as dealing with the pandemic

I don’t think it will be a game changer as far as the election is concerned though. What has he done in the last three and three quarter years? Very little, and hurt a lot of people and businesses




LisaL

(44,974 posts)
20. We don't have any vaccines that underwent and finished phase 3 in the US.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:36 PM
Aug 2020

FDA normally doesn't approve vaccine unless they have been fully tested in the US. Yes, Trump will pressure them, and they will likely cave in under the pressure. But people will be skeptical because this vaccine won't be fully tested. At least I know I would be.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
25. I know Moderna is recruiting.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:52 PM
Aug 2020

But they are nowhere near finished. Considering they are using a novel technique, I would be especially worried about that type of vaccine if it wasn't fully tested.

jmowreader

(50,567 posts)
17. Announcing a vaccine ahead of the election could cost him votes
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:33 PM
Aug 2020

Some of Trump's base believes vaccines are the mark of the beast described in the Book of Revelation. They also believe the coronavirus is a government plot to force us all to take this mark.

Trump can't afford to piss those people off because losing the Christian Extremist vote will, by itself, be enough to throw the election to Biden in a lot of states currently seen as lost causes by our side.

TheRealNorth

(9,500 posts)
41. You are assuming that those voters care about consistency
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:14 PM
Aug 2020

But they don't. They have already sold their souls to Don the Con.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
18. He might announce it, and FDA might even approve it under pressure.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:34 PM
Aug 2020

But there won't be any time to figure out if its even works.
And a lot of his supporters don't believe in vaccines. And Biden supporters will figure out FDA approved it under pressure without normal testing.

Journeyman

(15,042 posts)
19. I don't know -- What will be the October Surprise from the Democrats? . . .
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:36 PM
Aug 2020

To paraphrase Gen. U.S. Grant:

“Oh, I am heartily tired of hearing about what Trump and the Republicans are going to do. Some of you always seem to think Trump is suddenly going to turn a double somersault, and land in our rear and on both of our flanks at the same time and take control of the world. Go back to your room and try to think what we are going to do ourselves, instead of what Trump and the Republicans may do.”

So I'll leave you with words of wisdom from Mark Twain:

I am an old man and have known many troubles, most of which never happened.

Can you rise to the challenge of the day?

Fiendish Thingy

(15,687 posts)
22. FDA just announced they would bypass/shorten phase 3 testing process
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:40 PM
Aug 2020

They will absolutely announce a vaccine, and then it’s up to the scientists to speak out about the dangers.

consider_this

(2,203 posts)
24. Even if...
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 06:51 PM
Aug 2020

a vaccine was released, and even if it actually went through all the usual testing, and even if it put a total and complete end to the virus (none of these are likely cases IMO), how exactly would it be perceived that 'he' somehow gets credit for it?

So the script is - all the shit that is happening and has happened is someone else fault (commonly Obama or Biden), anything good that happens, he takes credit for (even if done by Obama/Biden).

I seem to recall he said 'I take not responsibility' - OK, dear leader, that that should apply to all things bad or good.

Well his followers will follow whatever his narrative is, but if that is the claim to fame, do you really think it would influence anyone to vote for him that does not want to now?

tinrobot

(10,927 posts)
27. SUCH a game changer? Boy, that's sure effusive.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 07:16 PM
Aug 2020

I seriously doubt a vaccine announcement will have much of an impact.

He never follows through on his promises. He promised tests, there were no tests. He promised PPE, there was none. He promised ventilators, they didn't work.

He's incompetent and people know it. If you handed him working vaccines today, he'd just hoard them to drive up prices.

andym

(5,445 posts)
29. I already believe the surprise is only if he doesn't announce the vaccine
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 07:20 PM
Aug 2020

that he, "big-brained," Trump is personally responsible for. It's the only thing he has besides cheating, which he will also try. People will hopefully see through the vaccine PR to remove President Surly Incompetence aka Donald Trump.

Freddie

(9,275 posts)
30. No - I just had a long conversation with a friend who works for Merck
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 07:52 PM
Aug 2020

My son-in-law’s mother works in the vaccine section. She said all the pharmaceutical companies are gearing up cooperatively to mass produce a vaccine but only when it is proven safe through the usual trials, etc. Companies like Merck have billions $$$ at stake and will NOT jeopardize themselves putting out a potentially unsafe product. I feel a lot better about it now that I’ve talked to her. She’s had some fellow employees get sick with Covid, one just got off a ventilator after 75 days. She knows we have to take this very seriously indeed.
This was at a birthday party for our granddaughter and we all tried hard not to discuss politics but her other son started taking about how “Covid will go away after the election” - she shut him down quickly on that one.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
37. Thanks for that!
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:05 PM
Aug 2020

Good to hear. I, for one, would not trust a vaccine that Trump announced or endorsed coming out in October. I think it would be worthless at best and lethal at worst. Besides, a large portion of his cult members are anti-vax, and I am not so sure they would go for it either.

Freddie

(9,275 posts)
39. I will trust my family doc on this
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:09 PM
Aug 2020

When a vaccine comes out, if she says it’s safe I trust her. Not until then.

TheRealNorth

(9,500 posts)
42. Pretty sure Federal law protects vaccine companies from vaccine-related lawsuits
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:21 PM
Aug 2020

Basically, the Federal Government pays out for any adverse events that result from vaccinations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Vaccine_Injury_Compensation_Program

qwlauren35

(6,150 posts)
45. That is heartening.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 09:26 PM
Aug 2020

At least with the major companies.

The news that the FDA may bypass Stage 3 was very upsetting.

budkin

(6,722 posts)
32. I think it's the Durham report
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 07:55 PM
Aug 2020

With just a bunch of shit made up about Biden and Obama, delivered by Barr.

Arazi

(6,829 posts)
53. Yup, it's this. The report will fabricate a story that Obama and Biden are criminals
Mon Aug 31, 2020, 12:46 PM
Aug 2020

He'll also tie in Hillary Clinton, Loretta Lynch, John Brennan, Jim Comey etc.

It will create a frenzy on the right, riling up his base just as he needs them to vote for him (and fight for him when he loses/contests the results)

Sunsky

(1,737 posts)
40. No
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:14 PM
Aug 2020

There's nothing surprising about a product that we have known to be in the works for awhile now. When the vaccine will become available and the quality of the vaccine is unknown. However, the mere fact that you've mentioned it as a possibility in August suggests it will be no surprise in October because a surprise should be unexpected. If one becomes available, 45 and the Trump friendly media will try to milk it as a game changer but we should call out the absurdity of that notion.
Almost 200,000 lives have been lost in the United States, because of Trump's actions/in actions and aversion to science. Scientists deserves the credit for any vaccine and not president Hydroxychloroquine Drink Bleach and Inject UV light in the body Trump.
We have to prepare for and push back at these Trumpian gimmicks.

Hekate

(90,901 posts)
43. As I predicted at least 2 months ago. Not properly tested, rushed to production, sold like snake-oil
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:43 PM
Aug 2020

Trump does not care how many Trumpistas get sick from it or still catch C-19 and die, as long as they have enough time to vote for him.

jmowreader

(50,567 posts)
44. I don't think there's going to be a workable October Surprise
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:45 PM
Aug 2020

I'm certain he'll try something. It'll go about as well as Bullwinkle pulling a rabbit out of his hat.

Trump's problem with October Surprises is he's already tried everything he could think of, and none of it worked.

Dorian Gray

(13,514 posts)
46. I would love for there to be a safe vaccine....
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 09:28 PM
Aug 2020

But even if one is announced, it'll take 9 months to a year to mobilize to get enough people to get it to make a difference.

 

Steelrolled

(2,022 posts)
48. I hope all the trials have spectacular results
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 11:09 PM
Aug 2020

and if so the FDA might be justified in some kind of early approval.

I don't think that would be a game changer; if we are dependent upon having no vaccine, we are already screwed.

 

BGBD

(3,282 posts)
50. There is nothing
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 11:52 PM
Aug 2020

he could deliver right now that would change peoples minds. I just saw a poll where over half of the respondents said they would never even consider voting for Trump. That's a really nutty level of unpopularity.

Nobody who isn't in his cult believes what he says. He could say a vaccine was going to be available the day after the election and nobody would buy it.

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