What Are The Most Surprising Senate Races That Republicans Might Lose?

[TomCADem]

Lindsey Graham is, of course, the no brainer, but besides that race, which race are you most surprised that a Republican is danger of losing.

Edit to add that several races do not even have up to date polls:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html#safe_seats

[Liberty Belle]

1. 50th Congressional race to fill Duncan Hunter's seat.

Hunter resigned in disgrace. Darrell Issa is running for the seat but Democrat Ammar Campa Najjar is polling at nearly 50/50. A strong Dem turnout and disgusted Reps not voting could give him the win.

[northoftheborder]

2. Cornyn in Tx

[Lasher]

3. I think we might regain control of the Senate

Not exactly what you asked, but that's my biggest surprise.

[Scruffy1]

5. Texas and its 38 Electoral Votes.

It will be close, but I am thinking a heavy turnout could cause it to turn blue. unfortunately I don't see much hope for beating Cornyn, but Iowa is looking good. A senator from a smaller state has the same vote as one from a state a big as Texas.

[TomCADem]

7. Surprised that MJ Hedgar is Really Giving Cornyn a Run

nt

[DeminPennswoods]

14. Beto O'Rourke was on one of the cable shows

and said Cornyn vs Hegar is probably closer than the polling suggests citing his own campaign vs Cruz in 2018 where he lost much more closely than polls predicted.

[Awsi Dooger]

4. I wish we had fully funded Kansas senate

That's the only under the radar race that had the friendly combo of a state with fewer than 40% conservatives, and also a state with a considerably more educated electorate than the norm.

It is criminal ignorance to throw away tens of millions in Kentucky with 43% conservatives and a significantly less educated electorate than the norm, while not paying much attention to Kansas

[TomCADem]

9. Bollier Is Putting Up a Solid Fight in a Deep Red State

You can't even argue that Kansas is really purple.

[grantcart]

6. Mississippi Senate race

[TomCADem]

10. Wow. Did not even know Mike Espy was running.

nt

[grantcart]

18. Last poll had them basically tied but I am sceptical

[xmas74]

8. Galloway vs Parson in MO governor race

No one likes Parson but with hatred of women in Missouri I'm shocked that Nicole is in a dead heat. If elected tr ed she will be our first woman governor in Missouri history.

Go Nicole!

[nordenbluejay]

11. nordenbluejay

South Dakota could be tipped: Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds was not a popular Governor–there were several unresolved scandals. Rounds has done nothing in the Senate. Governor Noem has been campaigning for Trump while our covid-19 numbers soar. Democrat Dan Ahlers is a solid candidate for Rounds' Senate seat but the DCC needs to get behind Ahlers with financial support and Biden/Harris visits.

[TomCADem]

15. There is no polling for South Dakota, But What the Heck

I will donate $25 for that race given how royally their Governor has messed up the handling of COVID in order to curry favor with Trump.

[DeminPennswoods]

12. Daines in Montana

Dems got a great get in Bullock who's already been elected statewide as governor.

[brooklynite]

13. Alaska

[TomCADem]

16. Really? There is not even a Democrat running in that race.

nt

[lastlib]

17. 2 Dem Senators in GA......

As much as I'd love to see Loeffler and Perdue go down, I don't really see it happening. Ditto McTurdle. And I'd love to see Doug Jones pull out a win, but both of those would take miracles right now.