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***Pew Research Poll*** Biden 52 Trump 42, 538 Composite Biden +10.2! (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP
the trendlines all show the same, whether if its 5% or 15%, trump/gop NOT growing beachbumbob Oct 2020 #1
are there any polls still saying Biden is only up by 5%? mucifer Oct 2020 #5
polls in last 30 days, sure there have been but doesn't matter beachbumbob Oct 2020 #6
Biden up 85-14 in the 538 Forecast Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #2
Weird they only have a RV model & not LV model. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #3
LV has been favoring Biden this time around Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #4
 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
1. the trendlines all show the same, whether if its 5% or 15%, trump/gop NOT growing
Fri Oct 9, 2020, 09:05 AM
Oct 2020

their voter base, in fact, shrinking it. Next hope is to have democrats victimize Barrett and I hope they are smarter than that

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
2. Biden up 85-14 in the 538 Forecast
Fri Oct 9, 2020, 09:11 AM
Oct 2020

I'm looking for that to jump considerably today or tomorrow as 25 days out is a milestone for 538s formula, inside 25 days and the polls get weighted heavier than before.

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
4. LV has been favoring Biden this time around
Fri Oct 9, 2020, 09:19 AM
Oct 2020

Biden gains a point or 2 this time around in the LV models. That's because he's winning seniors so decisively. So this would probably be Biden +12 if they applied a LV model.

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