IBD/TIPP tracking poll now daily till election. Great breakdown of demographics.

[highplainsdem]

https://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-tracking-poll-2020/



The best news here right now is that they have Biden +9. when he was only +3 in their previous poll taken after the debate.

Link to tweet

As for the demographics --

Trump leads only in the South, Biden in all other regions of the country.

Trump leads only with voters with a high school degree at most. Those with even some college, even if they didn't get a degree, favor Biden by more than 20 points.

Trump has a slim lead with white voters, but that's from white males. White females favor Biden.

Trump leads only with rural voters, not suburban and urban.

Biden leads with all income groups.

You'll find more demographic breakdows at the link. This poll isn't showing Biden with the lead among seniors other polls have found, though they do show him tied with Trump among seniors, after Trump won them in 2016.

Basically, this reinforces the polling data showing Trump's base is primarily poorly-educated white rural males.

[Statistical]

1. Those are some significant demographic shifts. White women especially.

I never understood that in 2016 and I guess I never will. Still glad to see that shift.

Trump can't win if his base is limited to white non-hispanic males. I mean that was the core of his support in 2016 too but he made enough inroads (God only knows how/why) in other demographics to just barely put him over the top.

[beachbumbob]

2. 40-42% appears to be trumps best for national, and parallels his approval numbers. You don't win

elections and the gOP knows this as the panic is in full play.