"2 More Funny Feelings About 2020" by Tim Alberta

[catbyte]

October 20, 2020

snip

1. The suburban realignment isn’t just a female phenomenon

There has been a tendency, over the past 2½ years, to place all of the emphasis—when discussing the GOP’s vanishing footprint in the major metropolitan suburbs—on the white, college-educated women fleeing the party.

Don’t get me wrong. Much of that emphasis is warranted. No single group has defected from Trump’s party at a faster or more conspicuous clip than the demographic he endearingly calls “The Suburban Housewives of America.” In 2016, exit polling showed Trump holding his own with college-educated white women, winning 44 percent of them to Hillary Clinton’s 51 percent. Two years later, the bottom fell out: Exit polling from House races nationwide showed Democrats winning this group by 20 points, leading to a cascade of some three dozen suburban Republican districts turning blue in 2018.

2. We’re overthinking this campaign

More than 219,000 Americans are dead from a global pandemic. Millions of adults are home from work and millions of kids are home from school. The streets of big cities and small towns have been convulsing with anger and protest and even sporadic violence.

All of this is politically significant. All of it has contributed to an election-year environment that is fundamentally detrimental to the incumbent.

But if Trump loses, the biggest factor won’t be Covid-19 or the economic meltdown or the social unrest. It will be his unlikability.

snip

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/10/20/alberta-two-weeks-2020-election-feelings-430238

[unblock]

1. Overthinking indeed. Donnie is not just a horrible President, he's a horrible politician

Policy disasters aside, he's running a horrible campaign. Bad management, bad finances, bad strategy, bad messages, no good coordination with other politicians, etc.

But it's been 4 years of alienating a majority of America so what did anyone expect. It's only the media that's been propping him up that ever gave him any chance at all.

An objective, responsible media that cared about actual journalism would have buried him ages ago. By now everyone, even his supporters, would know He's a conman, a fraud, a failure, a loser, a cheat, a criminal. His supporters would say yeah but my tax cut or whatever, but they'd say yeah.

[The Magistrate]

2. I Agree With The Gentleman, Ma'am

The creature is repellent, and the corpses are piling high. These things do not occur when a ruler has the Mandate of Heaven.


"He can't even make it cold in winter! How will he make it rain come spring?"