Just hit over 100,000 Covid-19 cases today

[Quixote1818]

100,971 currently

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

[soothsayer]

1. Yikes

[Quixote1818]

2. Already up even more nt

[BigmanPigman]

3. 101,035. Is this what winning looks like?

[Ms. Toad]

5. No, silly, it is what ending COVID 19 looks like.

[BigmanPigman]

8. Yes, I stand corrected.

[Ms. Toad]

4. My prediction from yesterday:

If the increase between Thursday and Friday is similar to what it has been the last 3 weeks tomorrow's total will be about 98,395 (average of 7.5% increase)

The range would be: 97,480(6.5% - 3 weeks ago) - 99.768 (9% - last week)

Looking this week's data - compared to the same day the prior week the increase is similar in terms of a prediction:

18% (monday - monday), 21%, 27%, and 22.5%). The average of those would be 22%.

Last Friday was 81,427. A 22% increase over last Friday's number would put us at: 99,463. (Range from 96,083 -103,168)


So - either way you look at it - pretty close to 100,000 (possibly over)

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214383224#post15

[Quixote1818]

6. The growth seems to be accelerating. nt

[Ms. Toad]

12. Less acceleration than exponential effect applied to large numbers.

The numerical increase seems so much larger.

Imagine a pond with one lilly pad in it. Every day you double it. It will take a long time to seem like much water is covered. So say it takes 99 days to multiply enough to cover half the pond. On day 100, the entire pond will be covered - even though it was only half covered the day before, even though it took 99 days to get to half.

We're not doubling daily, but the principle is the same. So it isn't accelerating - in the sense that it is growing faster (it's just growing by 10-12%/day). But because the sick population is so much greater, it feels like speeding up growth.)

[ffr]

7. The worst is yet to come.

Take extra precautions. Stay safe at least until we have a vaccine.

[BigmanPigman]

9. 2022 realistically.

[Blue_true]

10. So much for my belief that Americans had started to take precautions.

I drove past several chain restaurants earlier tonight. The parking lots were packed. I see no way that people could be observing social distancing inside those places.

[Shermann]

13. I've been seeing that since they reopened nt

[Quixote1818]

14. Reports are that conservative, rural area hospitals are being hit the hardest right now

because they don't wear masks I am sure.

[Kaleva]

15. The tourists who came up for the color season and summer did us in.

[Blue_true]

16. People from those areas get transported to the nearest city for treatment.

Because of the transfers, their local hospitals don’t get overrun. So, their communities don’t see the full consequences of a lack of taking precautions.

[malaise]

11. ByeDon

You fucking killa Con!

[My Pet Orangutan]

17. ... but the laptop

[malaise]

19. Bwaaaaaaaaaaaaaah

for the Butter emails

[regnaD kciN]

18. I'd wait for the CDC numbers tomorrow afternoon...

Every since the pandemic began, WorldOMeters has posted some dodgy numbers that turned out to not hold up.

[USALiberal]

20. LOL, ok! nt